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DARPA has had a program on this: see here for example. There was a good display on this at the Smithsonian.

I predict that a driverless car will be available from a major car maker in ten years -- say, 2020 or 2023. I do not expect a revolution, because the entire fleet will need to be replaced.

Regarding "who would want one?" I expect that the people that cannot drive, that they depend on others to get around, will be among the first adapters. Consider that MetroAccess" is there to provide transport for such people, which may be antiquated by this technology. More people will adapt when the autonomous driver is better at it than normal people.

by goldfish on Dec 7, 2011 10:42 am • link • report

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