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charlie - The prediction for 2012 is Figure 5-7. However, this is how many cars would be on the road (if I understand correctly) if it had already been open several years ago. You need to subtract 42% to get the prediction for 2012 as the first year it is open.

The 21,000 number, according to Liz Essley of the Examiner (who very helpfully answered my questions over the weekend) is the number of cars traveling two ways on the segment between Routes 182 and 650. And since that was only open a few weeks, you have to adjust downward some more from the average of the first year - how much, no one knows for sure.

I think it's fair to say that so far, the prediction is as close to reality as anyone has a right to expect. In the future, we shall see.

by Ben Ross on Jan 3, 2012 1:06 pm • link • report

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