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Meanwhile, traffic levels have peaked all over the country according to Federal Highway Administration (and State DOT) statistics. Federal highway expansion projects require looking ahead two decades when making traffic projections. It's anyone's guess how much traffic there will be in 2032, but it's likely to be much less as fossil fuels decline. We're past Peak Conventional Oil, Peak Coal (in terms of BTUs in the US), Peak Natural Gas in the US was 1973, shale gas is poised to decline sharply in the coming years (even with "fracking") and therefore transportation will see major contraction. Electric cars are unlikely to be built faster than energy decline, and the fuel sources that run almost all of the electric grid are near or at peak.

We will be doing well to maintain what we already have.

www.peaktraffic.org
Peak Traffic and Transportation Triage

by Mark on Jul 5, 2012 3:51 am • link • report

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