Development
"Excitement" not worth $1B stadium
Mayor Fenty wants to bring the Redskins back to DC, calling it "a big mistake" to let the team move to Landover in 1997. Why does Fenty want them back? Civic pride. Fenty told the Post,
"If people were around D.C. when the Redskins won the Super Bowl and in the quote-unquote heyday of past years, there's nothing like it in Washington, D.C. There's nothing like the excitement and having a Super Bowl team, walking around after the Super Bowl. So we want all that to come back to the city. It was a big mistake letting them leave, but we'll get them back."When it comes to stadiums, pride often goeth before a fall—economic fall. As the article points out, New York and Dallas are both building new stadiums at a cost of about $1 billion apiece. DC could do a lot to generate civic pride with $1 billion. We could throw the biggest state fair ever. We could lobby for voting rights in a campaign larger than any seen before. We could build a whole streetcar system. We could repave most of our sidewalks with gold.
And there's one more advantage of buying civic pride directly instead of relying on a football team: you can get the "excitement" even without having to win a Super Bowl, something the Redskins haven't done in 16 years.
Plus, football stadiums almost never help the surrounding neighborhood. As Marc Fisher pointed out in the context of the soccer stadium, while the Verizon Center hosts 220 events a year and the Nationals ballpark around 100, an NFL team only plays eight home games a year. The strong tradition of tailgating means that more people will drive to football than to baseball, even if the stadium is next to Metro instead of a mile's walk down a suburban street.
Economists have found that stadiums never pay off for their host cities in bringing in concession revenue or more fan spending at nearby restaurants; if anything, nearby restaurants just cannibalize other restaurants elsewhere. The study I saw (I can't find the link just now) found that the a stadium only actually benefits a city when it stimulates development in the surrounding area, and even then it still may fall short of spending the money directly on economic development.
Near the ballpark, in what was a blighted part of town, there is substantial development; some claim that's because of the ballpark, others claim it would have happened anyway. But around RFK stadium, there's no way it will generate development. The nearby neighborhood is doing just fine, and most of it is already built out and even historically protected; other parts, like the Reservation 13/Hill East development, are moving forward just fine on their own.
If anything, replacing the acres of parking with more mixed-use neighborhood and parks, perhaps like NCPC's National Capital Framework Plan suggests, would do more for the city's and surrounding neighborhood's economic development than any football stadium.
Fenty:
"As Jack Evans has pointed out on the city council, [the land in Landover] could probably be used for a lot of other valuable things. We have a stadium site sitting here ready, willing and able to go. A new stadium could go on there. We could probably donate almost all of the land to the stadium and, I think, build a brand-new stadium that could accommodate a Super Bowl that has all of the new trappings of new stadiums. ... We just want it to happen as fast as humanly possible."Memo to Mayor Fenty and Jack Evans: our land here could be used for a lot of other valuable things, too. Let's just start using that land, and forget about blowing $1 billion just for the occasional possibility of a little excitement.
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by rg on Oct 14, 2008 11:20 am
If you want to base the potential of this actually happening on mayor's track record so far, I would suggest you have nothing to worry about.
On the other hand, I wouldn't put it past him if he thinks it will get him reelected.
by Cavan on Oct 14, 2008 11:22 am
Of course, even if this were all true, I'd still oppose the stadium, but I just wanted to clarify it a little bit.
by Reid on Oct 14, 2008 11:54 am
by SG on Oct 14, 2008 12:06 pm
SG: If we didn't pay anything, I'm fine with it. I don't think that's what will happen, though, and it sounded like Fenty wants DC to offer something to counter whatever Maryland would give them.
by David Alpert on Oct 14, 2008 12:09 pm
by David Alpert on Oct 14, 2008 12:10 pm
by Ward 1 Guy on Oct 14, 2008 12:22 pm
Also, it's disingenuous to say it will be used 8 times a year. Yes, there are 8 regular season games. There are also preseason games, playoff games, potential Super Bowls (if they dome it, which they), NCAA final Fours, a collegiate bowl game, concerts, etc. So I agree that wouldn't be worth $1B, but what would it be worth? $200M? What would the city be asked to contribute? It's more complicated than you're presenting.
by Alex on Oct 14, 2008 12:24 pm
I agree that the lease terms are negotiable, and simply because they currently require a stadium doesn't mean we have to have a stadium. I was merely pointing out that the opportunity costs are not so clear cut as you first made them out to be.
But again, I'd be wary spending a single cent on the stadium. First of all, Snyder is already entertaining the idea of a new stadium only 10 years after the old one was built. That's insane. Who's to say he wouldn't try to blackmail the city in another 10 years? Or perhaps he'd pull an Abe Pollin and demand a "loan" to beef up to stadium in return for explicit bribes of free tickets to the councilmembers.
Plus, the idea is to build a domed stadium (that's the only way to get the Superbowl this far "north"). Even the retractable domed stadiums are ugly. As long as we're making billion dollar decisions based on sentiment, I'll throw out my sentiment that football in domed stadiums is sterile and artificial.
by Reid on Oct 14, 2008 12:25 pm
by David Alpert on Oct 14, 2008 12:28 pm
by Omari on Oct 14, 2008 12:30 pm
As for the RFK site. Reid is right, but there is no reason that can't change. NPS can't really be interested in taking charge of such a large area when they heven't the funds to manage what they have now. Even so, tearing down RFK and creating Robert F. Kennedy Park - with facilities where DC residents can play sports instead of watching them - would provide greater benefit than a $1B facility which sits empty for 85% of the time.
by David C on Oct 14, 2008 12:35 pm
As for the Navy Yard area... This area was long since forgotten by the city and the region. It was blighted ever since the construction of the SE Freeway. It is/was the classic example of the "wrong side of the tracks" phenomenon. No one would even be taking the proposal to tear down the SE freeway seriously if it weren't for the new Nationals Stadium having raised the profile of the area.
If the Redskins want to reconstruct a new stadium on top of RFK once DC United moves to their soccer stadium, why not? If they pay the construction costs, why not? The problem with RFK is not the stadium. It's all the mostly unused parking lots. Build a garage or something but with only enough spaces to accomodate a minority of uber expensive permit only season ticket holders. Vigorously ticket football fans who park in the neighborhood. Run shuttles to the Potomac Ave and other surrounding Metros in order to take pressure off Stadium-Armory. Have a big tent with a concession stand for non-car fans who want to tailgate.
If this gets built in an urban design, this stadium will change the way every other city in our nation will think about stadium building. This is a golden opportunity. Far more of the general population is passionate about sports than urbanism. Here is a way to keep showing them that urban environments work and continue the success of the Verizon Center, Nats' Stadium and the (hopefully) future Poplar Point soccer stadium.
by Cavan on Oct 14, 2008 1:03 pm
Eminent Domain. It is a power reserved by the government. It was used on behalf of the Nationals, not by them. Just had to get that off my chest.
To the topic at hand: This is the same inexplicable planning trap that politicians get stuck in. Will they put a Festival Marketplace or an Olym there too?
This could become the way to change up some of the fundamental problems with the Mall. If they move some of the agencies and bureaus in forgettable buildings to this area, mixing public and private uses, they could demolish the old headquarters and sell the land to developers who would mix in private uses. That might actually restore the vibrancy of near Southwest.
by King of Spain on Oct 14, 2008 1:08 pm
Though, look at the timetable on this, the stadium wouldn't be built until around 2020 and seemingly development around it would begin after that. That's too long to wait in my opinion.
by Alex on Oct 14, 2008 1:28 pm
1. Does the RFK Site make sense for a stadium?
and
2. What's the appropriate level of public financing for it?
----
1. Yes, it does make sense. The infrastructure is in place.
2. We can't answer this until we know what we're actually talking about. We have no numbers to go off of here. If Danny wants to build a palace and finance most of it himself, I'm fine with that. I'd also be fine with some public contributions in the forms of, say, an infill Metro station at Oklahoma Ave, or the movement of the DC Armory to a different location to allow the redevelopment of that building/parcel.
by Alex B. on Oct 14, 2008 1:44 pm
Cavan, I think you're history is a little off. Navy Yard was already turning around before the baseball stadium. The stadium deal was approved by the city council on 12/15/2004. At that point the new Marine Barracks were built, the new DOT building was a year under way, Maritime Plaza had been open for a year as had 1100 New Jersey and 300 M had been open for 3 years, the ,a href="http://www.jdland.com/dc/pdf-view.cfm?filename=wasa_050225_ncpc_rehab.pdf">rehab plans for the WASA site were only two months away from approval, Forrest City was already planning the Yards, the zoning commission had already approved the Capper/Carolsburg venture, the Canal Park design had already been chosen and Capitol Hill Tower and the Courtyard were already under construction. See what I'm talking about? Calling the baseball stadium the catalyst is like calling our invasion of Normandy the opening shots of WWII.
At least Verizon center was early, but Gallery Place had been in the works for years. Verizon opened there BECAUSE of the Gallery Place plans.
If the Redskins are willing to pay for their stadium and place their money at risk, then I agree let them. [Though the stadium should compete with other RFPs so that the public interest is maximized] But I will bet you an infinite pot of coffee that they will not agree to pay for a new stadium out of their own pocket. And we shouldn't buy it for them.
by David C on Oct 14, 2008 1:47 pm
In the, say, 25-year lifecycle of the stadium, if it draws 2 or 3 of each of these events, that's about one mega-event every five years. That brings people and attention to DC, and also drives some regular people not to go eat downtown that day because of the expected crush. Meanwhile, a real neighborhood with real people brings benefits every day, and regular, repeatable tax revenue.
I don't know the numbers. But I have a feeling that the value to the city of actual development would exceed any value that the stadium could bring.
by David Alpert on Oct 14, 2008 1:47 pm
No, Verizon and the Ballpark will not be true catalysts, but they will draw in many crowds that would otherwise rarely venture into the city, yet alone those parts of the city.
I seem to recall seeing some historical ridership trends from various Metro stations. The upward trend at Gallery Place bears a strong correlation with the opening of the Verizon Center and the subsequent improvements in the surrounding areas.
by Alex B. on Oct 14, 2008 1:50 pm
It's not like baseball fans come into the city and stop by Frager's on the way. They ride or drive in, spend a bunch of money at the stadium for some millionaire who lives out in the suburbs and then they drive or ride home. Again, screw that.
by David C on Oct 14, 2008 1:53 pm
by JR on Oct 14, 2008 1:54 pm
That's not what I'm saying at all. Like it or not, DC is the center of a region. It has larger reach than just residents - especially for things that are regional draws, like pro sports.
Downtowns thrive on the fact that more people come there than could possibly live there. That kind of concentration is exactly what makes cities great.
Would you rather people spend their entertainment dollars in the city or in the burbs?
Again, don't equate my arguments with support for full public financing. I never said that was a good deal. However, that's a completely separate issue from the proper location of these kinds of facilities.
by Alex B. on Oct 14, 2008 2:16 pm
100,000 x $175 (avg ticket price) x 10 (number of home games incl. preseason which are the same price)= $17.5 million per year.
This does not include the taxes on concessions, which I assume would be $2 per person per game assuming the average fan spends $20 at the same.
If the public debt service could remain around $20 million per year, then the stadium would not be a net loss for the city. If we assume (like with the Dallas stadium) that it required a $300 million taxpayer subsidy, then it would require $19.5 million per year in interest payments using a (conservative) 6.5% fixed bond. Municipal bonds would likely be much cheaper than this, in a normal credit market.
by SG on Oct 14, 2008 2:16 pm
by Reid on Oct 14, 2008 2:23 pm
Why would it be a stadium OR a neighborhood? Right now it's nothing, right? From the metro to the river there is nothing there, nothing to tax, nothing to enjoy, nothing but parking lots and institutional buildings. So SOMETHING needs to be there, right? My question to you then, is Gallery Place bettor or worse for having an arena there? Would residential development or parkland cleanup or whatever we decide would be best for RFK happen more or less quickly if $1B were invested in the area?
Are you against a stadium or against a publicly financed stadium? To what extent? And can you comment of SG's rough numbers?
by Alex on Oct 14, 2008 2:38 pm
1. This is an excellent spot for mixed-use development along the lines of the NCPC plan. I fear that a large stadium would come at a cost to commercial and residential development I would like to see.
2. The overflow from sporting events directly impacts our neighborhood. As much as I enjoyed being able to leave my house and be watching a Major League baseball game in 15 minutes (including ticket time), the constant stream of drunk fans after the game (beyond myself that is) and widespread parking issues makes me reluctant to deal with football fans.
3. As several others noted, baseball is less frequent than football. Even if it booked twenty events a year, that's still less than thirty days a year for an event. No one is going to open a restaurant or bar nearby because of that. Not to mention, baseball fans tend to be more laid back than football fans. Less likely to be a problem when they lose.
4. Also, as noted, the parking is the big issue here. It's not the stadium I really object to. It's the barren wasteland of parking separating me from the Anacostia that bothers me. A football fans want to drive and tailgate.
5. Off the topic, but when did Final Four games start playing at football stadiums?
Overall, neighborhood opinion is divided on this, but the vocal ones tend to be more loudly opposed. As annoying as they often are, I would be with the NIMBY's on this one. If Jack Evans wants a stadium, let him find space in Georgetown.
by TtE on Oct 14, 2008 2:40 pm
There's plenty of precedent for baseball, soccer, and basketball/hockey; there's almost no precedent for football (are there any?) If DC builds a stadium there, the parking lots will stay.
As for SG's numbers, as long as the stadium always sells out, then it seems okay, but doesn't account for the opportunity cost of other things we could do with that land. It also would take all the tax revenue away from Prince George's County, benefiting the city at the expense of the region.
Again, if it's just the building with no surface parking and almost no big garages, that's one thing, but to devote that entire mass of land to vacant space for occasional car storage at most 20 days a year is not the best use of space.
by David Alpert on Oct 14, 2008 2:51 pm
As far as parking goes with a stadium, I would assume any new stadium development on the RFK grounds would be accompanied by an aggressive performance parking system.
by Alex B. on Oct 14, 2008 2:51 pm
However, there are some great examples of urban football stadiums, though almost all of them are college football stadiums, not professional ones. Most have been there for generations and are integrated into campus environments. Still, these are places with very high event capacities and often little to no official on site parking.
by Alex B. on Oct 14, 2008 2:56 pm
by Bianchi on Oct 14, 2008 3:25 pm
College football tends to have a much larger fanbase immediately local to the stadium, thanks to student housing. In my experience, nearly every house near the stadium does something to partake - whether that's firing up the grill, parking cars on lawns, tossing footballs in the streets, etc.
Again, I'm not sure if that translates well (if at all) to pro football, but it does show that we're not talking about something inherent to football alone.
by Alex B. on Oct 14, 2008 3:33 pm
Back to the topic at hand... of course this entire discussion hinges on the topic of who pays. Even though I'm a sports fan, I see no reason for any jurisdiction to pay that much money for a stadium for a business. However, if they want to pay, it can be positive.
I also do have to concede to David C that apparently the development at Navy Yard was on the boards before the baseball stadium was approved. However, I do have to ask if there would have been much of a snowball effect without it. Remember, you want a diversity of uses in an urban environment. Having all that extra foot traffic on 7th St. NW certainly puts more eyes on the street and fannies at the barstool supporting local business. Perhaps such places would have been built. However, I doubt there would have been the kind of snowball effect that has produced what we see today. I know I like to get a beer and/or food before and after watching my sports.
Alex B. has a good point about the functions of downtowns.
This argument is one that is never waged on terms of numbers. It all comes down to whether or not one is a fan of the team. For example, Mark Fisher is/was a huge proponent of Nationals Stadium. He is also a huge baseball fan. He's against DC United being allowed to pay for the construction of a soccer stadium at Poplar Point. He's not a soccer fan, too. I (not that I'm anyone) am a huge soccer fan and go out of my way to not watch baseball since I'm very much not a fan. Knowing that about me, it would come as no surprise that I would have thought building the baseball stadium was a bad move and how I think the soccer stadium can be excellent urbanism. Of course, baseball playing hardball and not paying a cent in construction then not paying their rent and soccer offering to pay all construction costs for the last ten years but getting nowhere might have something to do with it...
On an unrelated note,
Final Four games have been in domes for many years now. It's a big event and they have no problem selling that many tickets.
by Cavan on Oct 14, 2008 3:41 pm
by Vik on Oct 14, 2008 3:47 pm
They're also moving to using the entire football stadium, rather than using just one end and having the court up against the grandstand. Take a look at this pic, great football seats wouldn't even be good enough for Bob Uecker.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:FordField-2008NCAAtournament-MidwestRegional.jpg
by Alex B. on Oct 14, 2008 3:51 pm
Far more can be accomplished with the RFK land than a stadium. Since 2003 e.g., I've suggested that the northernmost parking lots could be converted into housing. And yes, it is possible to change the nature of the NPS/Federal agreement with DC on how that land can be used.
As far as PG County and revenues from the Redskins go, isn't the number something like $6 million/year? I can't seem to find the cite to support this, something I read last year. Estimates from other articles range from $3MM to $10MM annually, e.g., in this article:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/06/22/AR2005062202201.html
The issue is what could you do alternatively with the money and would it generate more economic development, revenue, and quality of life improvements for the city? My first vote would be for streetcars, but maybe it would tie with putting up the bulk of the money to create the separated blue line, adding subway capacity and more stations in the core of the city.
Those kind of investments should be #1 before any kind of "investment" in sports.
For years I have been writing about the Verizon Center issue.
Yes, it has contributed somewhat to improvements in the East End.
But this has to be balanced against the reality that the land inventory in the traditional CBD was almost nil and development would continue eastward (and southward) if developers were to continue to develop.
SO much of the success of MCI Center is illusory. Plus if it were so great, why have most of the businesses within it failed, at least up to the current iteration.
I will admit it adds to the excitement downtown, and it provides reasons for suburbanites to visit the city. Do they spend more money in the city after? Not as much as we'd like. Pollin schedules events at times that almost require people to go to the Arena and eat-spend their money there. And people have to work, so mostly people stay out after only on Fridays and Saturdays. But Jaleo maybe does as much as MCI in terms of bringing people out to Penn Quarter. Having the reopened Smithsonian Museums contributes as well. The movie theaters, etc.
It's many different pieces and all about layering multiple attractions there. Etc.
by Richard Layman on Oct 14, 2008 4:23 pm
by TtE on Oct 14, 2008 4:26 pm
While a major stadium might bring the Final Four. DC has hosted 1st and 2nd rounds in 2008 and regionals in 2006, so we'd be talking about the benefit of stepping up, not going from nothing to something.
DC would probably rarely get Super Bowls due to the weather (in the last 25 years it's gone outside of the southern part of the US twice).
In addition to "what else would we do with the money" whether that be $200M or $1B there is also the question of what else we could do with the land. Creating a park/recreational sports facility on the southern two thirds and housing/retail/hotel/etc... over a new Oklahoma Avenue metro station on the northern third, would monetize and activate a presently dead space. It would provide much needed green space along a river struggling to deal with vast amounts of storm run-off. It would gives adult and youth teams more places to play sports - something that is desperately needed. It would reduce heat island effects, provide jobs etc....And we'd still have an NFL team a metro ride and short walk away.
by David C on Oct 14, 2008 4:47 pm
by David C on Oct 14, 2008 4:48 pm
by ward8sown on Oct 14, 2008 6:30 pm
Y'all got one of the best sports writers in the country right in your back yard (doh!), and he's all over the public financing stuff:
http://www.edgeofsports.com/2008-03-30-333/index.html
by Peter on Oct 14, 2008 6:57 pm
Are there seriously people who don't know that DC exists?
by Boots on Oct 14, 2008 7:26 pm
In response to the notion of an "urban" NFL stadium, Miami's Joe Robbie Stadium and Chicago's Soldier Field have moderate parking footprints. Green Bay's Lambeau Field is even smaller: http://maps.yahoo.com/#mvt=h&lat=44.501076&lon=-88.063103&zoom=17
But I can't foresee a venue of 100,000 people squeezing into a footprint the size of RFK's, and certainly not a smaller one. As much as I'd love the Redskins back into the city, a venue of that magnitude for that purpose would be horribly detrimental to the urban fabric.
by Dave Murphy on Oct 14, 2008 10:40 pm
by stevek_fairfax on Oct 14, 2008 11:19 pm
And, what has it provided to the adjacent natural Anacostia River habitats or adjacent neighborhoods? I would argue a negative impact.
Take a moment and review the NCPC's vision for the RFK Stadium site (http://www.ncpc.gov/initiatives/pg.asp?p=rfkstadiumsiteredevelopmentstudy).
That type of vision positively changes and contributes to the surrounding natural environment, the neighborhood and city landscape forever. It also contributes to the city coffers and becomes a regional and national destination.
And, it has all the major infrastructure elements to support such a master plan.
Hmmm, let’s see, another mostly vacant monstrosity blocking the city from it’s riverfront or a vibrant gateway linking the monument cores and riverfront?
Just my opinion, but the adjacent neighborhoods and Anacostia River have long been overdue to be brought back together for the sustainability and longevity of both.
This is the chance of a lifetime for both the city and federal governments.
by Ken on Oct 15, 2008 11:44 am
by David C on Oct 15, 2008 12:05 pm
Also, doubling the seating capacity of RFK would not necessarily mean doubling the size. This is one of those things that drives me nuts, as it does when people equate height to density, etc.
by Alex B. on Oct 15, 2008 12:25 pm
by Hiya on Oct 15, 2008 1:43 pm
by KM on Oct 15, 2008 1:54 pm
http://wwwsouthcapitolstreet.blogspot.com/2008/04/beside-misplaced-diamond-lump-of-coal.html
I would rather put the money into transportation infrastructure.
by Douglas Willinger on Oct 15, 2008 2:04 pm