Poverty
Tax cuts and tech jobs won't solve DC unemployment
Technology investor Mark Ein thinks high taxes and costly office space are the only things keeping DC from being a high-tech hub, thus keeping more of its residents employed. If only it were that simple.
If the major tech companies that started in the District hadn't left, the city's crippling unemployment problem would be addressed, Ein posited before the DC Chamber of Commerce's 2011 Business Summit last week, the Current reported (huge PDF, page 9).
Ein says simply adding 10,000 more jobs will solve DC's unemployment problem. That isn't so many compared to the number that left the city in recent decades. And he recommends cutting corporate taxes to bring those jobs to DC.
But taxes aren't the reason DC isn't a technology hub, and tech jobs won't address DC's employment crisis. Putting DC residents back to work requires addressing the gross mismatch between the skills of the District's unemployed and those required by the area's knowledge economy.
Why have companies like MCI, Nextel, Corporate Executive Board, and the Friedman, Billings, Ramsey Group left the District? According to Ein, the culprits are corporate tax rates and the high cost of real estate.
By that logic, Omaha and Tulsa should be the nation's high-tech hotspots.
I co-founded a tech company in the District in 2000 that now has 60 employees and is headquartered in Tysons Corner. We moved there despite very high rents for two reasons. First, my partners who live in northern Virginia would have far longer commutes into the District than I would have to Tysons. Second, Tysons Corner is where the potential software partners and vendors are Slashing the corporate tax rates in the District would benefit owners of DC businesses like Ein. It would do little to attract outside businesses and even less to help the unemployed, who are already threatened by cuts in social services by the cash-strapped city government.
Technology hubs form where there is a large source of very talented developers, capital and a large number of similar technology companies that serve as rivals or partners. According to Michael Porter, who wrote the definitive text on industry hubs or clusters, these are factors that contribute to clusters in any industry.
Tax rates, according to Porter, are not relevant to the rise of tech hubs. If they were, the largest enterprise software firm on the planet (SAP) probably wouldn't be in Germany, and the largest tech hub in the world (Silicon Valley) wouldn't be in the state that has the second-highest business tax rates in the US.
Ein claims that Washington has "been a place for people to start companies that want to tap into the deep population of one of the most well-educated, computer-savvy young workforces anywhere in the nation". But Northern Virginia's tech cluster didn't just happen; firms located there to take advantage of federal government contracts.
Non-government software firms have been only a knock-on effect, or consequence, of the government contracting hub. My company, which sells software to phone companies, is such a knock-on effect, benefiting as we do from the local telecom sector hub that arose when telecom was heavily regulated by the government.
Washington is quite unlike Silicon Valley, Austin, or New York City with their legions of talented software developers. There is no leading computer science department in a Washington-area university, and there is no rivalry amongst local firms for the best developers as exists between Google, Facebook, and Twitter.
The number of tech companies founded in DC, to which Ein points as evidence of our lost potential, is actually not high for a city our size. One of the largest software companies in the world, Compuware, is based in Detroit, and no one is looking to the Motor City as the next Silicon Valley.
DC's unemployed also aren't jobless due to a lack of jobs. They simply lack the skills that even the bulk of existing jobs demand. More than 40% of jobs in DC require a college degree, while nationally only 20-22% of jobs require a college degree. Yet 36% of DC residents are functionally illiterate.
DC lacks a manufacturing base and is a hub for public policy, non-profit and legal sectors that require college or advanced degrees. We need to solve the root problem and not waste our time attracting more employers that require higher education.
Mayor Gray thinks job training will close this skills mismatch. That sounds great, but one wonders what cluster will form in the District that can provide 10,000 jobs for which functionally illiterate residents can train in a year or less. Gray hasn't delved into such details, but it's these details that must be worked out if job training in the District is to avoid being a multimillion dollar boondoggle.
Is there an industry that could employ the 30% of Ward 8 that is unemployed, yet find a home in a knowledge-based economy? The answer is key to the city's ability to wash the moral stain of 30% of its children living in poverty.
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by Alex B. on May 11, 2011 2:58 pm • link • report
"Tech jobs won't help the poor. Besides, I and my fellow executives _like_ locating in the boonies as it's convienent for _our_ commutes. Staff to our firms aren't poor, so I don't care about 'em. They can go commute to where it's convenient for executives, or go hump it.
Thanks, Ken"
by John on May 11, 2011 3:09 pm • link • report
If there is no knowledge base, how can a home in an environment requiring that knowledge be found?
The answer is key to the city's ability to wash the moral stain of 30% of its children living in poverty.
The District is not responsible for poverty, and it is not responsible for raising children (unless in jail/ward of citystate).
For bad public education opportunities, yes, DC is responsible. But placing all responsibility on a government exempts parents/caregivers and all other societal factors.
by greent on May 11, 2011 3:14 pm • link • report
1. Dealing with DC's chronic unemployed in terms of getting them employable;
2. Having DC be a better place for technology-knowledge based firms.
WRT (2), rents, or the lack of as JJ referred to it, "a large stock of old buildings" with low basis costs and low rents and therefore attractive to start ups, is an issue.
So is the type of potential clients and their location. A lot of the opportunity is based around military applications, etc., which isn't based in DC.
And of course where the people are located.
It's interesting that Blackboard is in DC. This makes sense as there are a bunch of universities, plus the higher education assns., etc.
But mostly DC is the location of managers/headquarters pieces of organizations, not the operations divisions, so the likelihood of business development is reduced. (You mention Porter's work but Saxenian's is also very relevant to this issue, in her differentiation of large scale vs. smaller scale businesses in her discussion of the differences between Rte. 128 and Silicon Valley as places to do business.)
But if DC had better engineering colleges maybe it would be a bit different. Even so, lots of professors at schools like CUA create businesses, but they don't locate them in the city.
I would argue that dealing with making DC more attractive to technology startups is important, irrespective of dealing with the problem of chronic unemployment.
And dealing with either requires more nuanced initiatives than those proposed by Mark Ein.
by Richard Layman on May 11, 2011 3:20 pm • link • report
by david on May 11, 2011 3:42 pm • link • report
Like Richard says, that wouldn't be any direct solution for poor unemployed in the District, but follow-on demand for services could spring up in a District neighborhood with urban amenities the office workers could walk to (instead of gazing out the window at a parking lot like I do all day).
by jj on May 11, 2011 3:47 pm • link • report
Disingenuous also, to pretend the "tech corridor" just magically occurred because techs love themselves some exurbs. It exists because of the taxes and cheap rents in exurb office parks, as well as Execs who want to have short drives from their homes outside Leesburg (this is the story of why Fannie Mae threw their staff into the ghetto, the tech Exec at the time wanted a short drive.
by John on May 11, 2011 3:49 pm • link • report
You definitely can't possibly accuse him of wanting to be in Tysons for his convenience. His partners, maybe.
by David Alpert on May 11, 2011 3:58 pm • link • report
There is a wide body of research showing that in corporate HQ location decisions, proximity to the home of the CEO or other senior staff has a huge influence.
by Alex B. on May 11, 2011 4:00 pm • link • report
by David Alpert on May 11, 2011 4:04 pm • link • report
I couldn't agree more. It's one of the most profound structural injustices in cities today. Offices move close to owners, who live close to people like them, thus removing whole classes of folks from access to jobs. It's a return of the old boys club in a guise that feels less objectionable.
So, what to do about it? The reality is that not only is it government contracting that sustains much of the NoVa tech hub, and not developers living in DC (most live in the burbs anyway), even if we could lure tech companies to DC I don't think it would make a dent in DC unemployment.
I want to do something about the horrible joblessness in the District, and am trying to provoke a conversation about what can be done by exposing the false, feel-good solutions of Ein and Mayor Gray as ineffective.
by Ken Archer on May 11, 2011 4:22 pm • link • report
They start off in DC, usually just founders, get nurtured here, but soon as they start adding employees move out to Tysons.
Why? The biggest explanation I got was parking. As a startup, they didn't want to be paying so much for employee parking downtown.
Interesting that the largest "tech" company in the area both founders live in Georgetown.
by charlie on May 11, 2011 4:29 pm • link • report
But I wouldn't be so fast to dismiss real estate costs as part of it. Rents downtown (and in Rosslyn) are in the $5070 per-square-foot range (that's per year). Thus, a floor of office space that seats 100 people costs about $1.5MM per year.
Rents out in the Dulles Corridor are half that.
Sure, of course, there are all kinds of external costs to the Dulles Corridor (car, parking, gas, environment). Of course it makes it difficult for residents living in denser areas inside the Beltway to reach. But for a startup first moving out of a garage, the internalized real estate cost is a huge difference (esp. for the early guys, if they already have cars and/or are spread out geographically).
From my experience in Atlanta, where the tech/entrepreneurial community is a bit smaller than DC, but way, way, tighter, it sort of revolves around a state-owned incubator called ATDC, associated with Georgia Tech and offering subsidized office space. It serves as a central gathering spot not just for new startups, but for classes, speeches, symposiums, and networking events. When companies "graduate" from the incubator, many stay in the city proper.
There's just nothing like that in DC. There's an utter dearth of incubator space.
My recommendation for the District to become more of a tech hub: subsidize a well-run incubator with inexpensive office space in the range of $1525 per square foot, with shared resources like copy rooms and break rooms. Startups could begin life there and then inch their way out.
Hell, locate it in one of the new empty buildings near the ballpark. Rents there are cheaper, and there are higher vacancy rates. The landlords there might even be willing to work with DC to establish an incubator there with cheaper rents, with the hope that growing companies would move into nearby space at market rents when they "graduate" from the incubator.
by Joey on May 11, 2011 4:49 pm • link • report
In fact, I'd say associations/think tanks/policy centers pretty much drive the startups out of that market.
by charlie on May 11, 2011 5:10 pm • link • report
If it had stayed as just a critique of Ein thesis on DC's unemployed I wouldn't have said anything. Absolutely correct that this does nothing for the DC unemployed, as that is a skill-set problem.
However, it didn't stay there, it went into a spurious "and it doesn't matter anyway because places would still go out to the sticks since it's that's where tech is" argument.
"I co-founded a tech company in the District in 2000 that now has 60 employees and is headquartered in Tysons Corner. We moved there despite very high rents for two reasons. First, my partners who live in northern Virginia would have far longer commutes into the District than I would have to Tysons. Second, Tysons Corner is where the potential software partners and vendors areit's where the action is."
This presumes that it all just magically happened and lo and behold, it just spontaneously is "where the action is". That's where I called BS, and where to blunt Ein is correct. There is a self-perpetuating tech corridor in the sticks which started for the reasons Ein states, along with Execs hosing staff for their own personal interest.
1. Taxes are lower for them in sticks VA.
2. Rents were, and in the case of exurb tech ghetto of Reston/Herndon are still lower. (BTW - We won't even discuss that this is an implicit offloading of business expenses on staff, trading lower company costs for higher commute costs + lost time).
3. Exec choice, which may be based on the above (ex. companies who keep the execs downtown, and put staff in the ghetto) or just personal convenience to their lifestyle choice (ex: Ken's partners).
So while Ein's solutions won't impact the structural DC unemployment, they would make DC more competitive for these businesses. Especially as energy costs make staff recruitment to the ghetto harder and harder. A business that is at a central location, on transit will have an advantage recruiting new people.
That's my point of contention here. If it comes across as harsh, it's because I spent four years in hell reverse commuting to the ghetto, and taking a hassle for not moving out there by upper management. Luckily, I'm now high enough up the chain to laugh at folks who try to recruitment me away to the ghetto again (last time I said I wouldn't talk to them w/out a $20k "gas and annoyance" offset for Reston), but it still grates.
by John on May 11, 2011 5:10 pm • link • report
by JustMe on May 11, 2011 6:24 pm • link • report
by Alex B. on May 11, 2011 9:05 pm • link • report
But if the height limit were to be changed tomorrow it would take decades before it would begin to have substantive impact on rents.
Frankly, DC never had that many of the "large old buildings" that industrial cities have, buildings that turn out to be great for adaptive reuse and for use by start up type innovative businesses.
The place that did, what is now called NoMA, lost most of the buildings in the 1980s and 1990s. But regardless, the fact that market businesses can be outbid by nonmarket businesses (as mentioned by JustMe) trumps the building stock.
It's why, btw, I submitted an amendment to the Comp Plan for CM zoning, to disallow schools and churches as matter of right uses, because that creates yet another non-business non-market competition for industrial space. OP turned it down.
Where the buildings tend to remain is along the railroad corridors, but these places tend to not have a lot of amenity value.
The warehouses owned by Jemal/Douglas Development near Rhode Island Metro could be recaptured for this type of use and over time the area could become "hipper." But other buildings that could serve similar uses are church-owned now, so there is a real limit on available inventory.
Note that CUA wants to create a research park, maybe, on the land it acquired from AFRH, which is west of Harewood Road, across from the campus.
by Richard Layman on May 11, 2011 10:09 pm • link • report
I'm not necessarily for much taller heights downtown on balance, but reducing rents to attract more diverse industries does seem to be one good argument in favor. Of course, rents would still have to be pretty expensive to justify new high-rise construction.
by RichardatCourthouse on May 12, 2011 2:30 am • link • report
Second, there isn't enough space here to begin to address the societal reasons why the DC population is not educated enough for the new tech jobs- suffice it to say that it absolutely has to do with racism and discrimination in American society, if we are honest with ourselves.
by KevinM on May 12, 2011 7:54 am • link • report
Just because it is not in the preferred area or by a metrostation does not make it useless. There is land in DC outside of downtown plus further land in PG County or eastern Montgomery County which could be used its just that some are afraid to do so.
by kk on May 12, 2011 8:30 am • link • report
http://grad-schools.usnews.rankingsandreviews.com/best-graduate-schools/top-science-schools/computer-science-rankings
PG county could do more to foster graduates to start companies around UMD.
by Jordan on May 12, 2011 8:34 am • link • report
Unless someone pays a manufacturer to move to DC, the vast majority of DC's unemployed will never move off of the dole and I'm not even sure that will work. The sad fact is that without welfare reform, no one currently on welfare has to go to work for any significant period of time. They've made conscious decisions to put roadblocks in their own ability to get jobs (chemical dependency, criminal violations, food related obesity issues) and it's a small enough town, that they have a strong political class willing to trade lifetime support for votes.
The carrot of "a better life for your children" really doesn't resonate.
by ahk on May 12, 2011 9:46 am • link • report
Not everyone can go to college, nor should they, but as Judge Smalls says "the world needs ditch diggers, too."
An increase in high end companies means more low end hiring to support them i.e. a rising tide raises all the boats.
by Burger on May 12, 2011 10:18 am • link • report
No one is saying that raising the height limit will lower unemployment.
The argument is this: raising the height limit enables the District to add supply to meet the voracious demand for space - which can then lower the cost of renting office space, which end better enables start-up companies to form and later remain in the District.
by Alex B. on May 12, 2011 10:24 am • link • report
by DZPost on May 12, 2011 2:38 pm • link • report
The two are mutually exclusive. There's plenty of near-in office space that's vacant or could be easily built out, but it's not in the central downtown area.
You're confusing wants with needs.
by ahk on May 12, 2011 3:22 pm • link • report
Huh? That's the whole point - add more space to the popular locations, and the price will come down for existing space in and adjacent to those same locations.
And you're wrong, there is indeed a voracious appetite for space at all price points in good locations. The District has lots of those 'good locations,' and not enough space to meet demand.
Likewise, on the start-up front, there's the challenge of having existing space available for companies instead of building new space to meet that demand - it's a bit of a chicken and the egg problem.
by Alex B. on May 12, 2011 3:41 pm • link • report
by SJE on May 12, 2011 3:48 pm • link • report
Excuse me, but the language of this blog is English. Please use it when making comments.
by JustMe on May 12, 2011 3:55 pm • link • report
by SJE on May 12, 2011 5:42 pm • link • report
by Jasper on May 12, 2011 10:25 pm • link • report
We have a rule that you need to discuss the point being made, not the person. You were basically saying, "how can you be arguing this, when you argued this other thing I dislike before?" That's a kind of ad hominem attack, where you are disputing a point based on the person who wrote it instead of based on the point itself.
You seem to be already having your comment in mind as soon as you read the byline. That's not appropriate and comments of this nature will be deleted.
by David Alpert on May 12, 2011 10:36 pm • link • report
No, the real failure is national (and regional) poverty policy. The most glaring local symptom of that failure is the DC education system. Asking why DC can't get it's act together is just buck-passing.
by oboe on May 13, 2011 10:20 am • link • report
I might add that DC's unemployed aren't jobless due to a lack of "skills", except in the broadest sense of the word. You've touched on the real problem here in mentioning literacy. But when you look at some of the more successful jobs programs, you see that the skills they teach are things like, "getting to work when your shift starts", "dressing appropriately", and "Saying please and thank you."
A true cynic would say that DC's unemployed are jobless because they're largely unemployable. The optimal solution would be to provide housing, day care, and a bare minimum level of employment: make-work jobs that you can't get fired from, and in which you don't have to interact with the public in any way.
Obviously that's got to happen at the national (or at least regional level). But it's the only thing that would address the problem on the scale needed. Our current system produces rare individual success stories, but leaves the fundamental numbers unaltered.
by oboe on May 13, 2011 10:38 am • link • report
But so far the city's economic development strategy has seemed to focus on real estate deals, which is important but now that we're a strong market city we need to act like it, and think more strategically about what sectors we'd like to keep and grow. And there's no workforce development strategy to speak of, although Mayor Gray did highlight the issue in his campaign more than any other candidate in recent memory (which in my case goes back to Williams.) He understands that we need a system, and for the different elements - K-12, adult education (GED, ESL, etc.), job training, community college, and so on -- to work together much better than they do now. Making it happen is much harder.
Some colleagues and I wrote some briefs on this recently:
Transforming Workforce Develoment in the District: Building a Strong Leadership Structure and Contributing to an Economic Opportunity Agenda
Reforming First Source: Strengthening the Link Between Economic Development and Jobs
http://thecommunityfoundation.wordpress.com/2010/12/21/new-year-new-mayor-new-ideas-for-workforce-development/
And lastly, the figure that 37% of DC residents are at the lowest level of literacy should be taken with a grain of salt. My main point is that, yes, the problem is hugely bad and demand for adult ed swamps supply and for now I'm not going to worry about exactly what the number is.
The more technical info is that the 37% figure is an estimate based on an estimate, using national survey data from the 1992 National Adult Literacy Survey then put into a model that used Census demographic info to generate jurisdiction-level estimates.
In 2003, the Dept. of Ed fielded another national survey, the National Assessment of Adult Literacy, and then did more estimating for state/local estimates, and came up with the figure that 19% of DC residents have the lowest level of literacy skills. I don't think the 19% and 37% can be directly compared because the measures aren't defined in quite the same way. Unsatisfying, I know.
http://nces.ed.gov/naal/estimates/
by Martha Ross on May 13, 2011 10:49 am • link • report
by oboe on May 13, 2011 11:27 am • link • report
Nowhere near Tyson's Corner.
by Patrick Thornton on May 13, 2011 1:18 pm • link • report
I must not have been clear. I was trying to say: How can Ken say A, when he argued -A before (in an article that I indeed did not like, but that is besides the point). That is not an ad hominem attack. That is asking writers for this blog to be consistent in their opinions. I would expect that when writers are allowed to use quite inflammatory language and positions in their pieces, readers can remember that language and those positions and use that information in subsequent debates to show that authors are inconsistent. That is not an ad hominem attack. That is using people's own words against them. I can not help it that those words were nasty. I did not write them, nor editing them.
by Jasper on May 13, 2011 2:00 pm • link • report
by Coop on May 14, 2011 10:30 am • link • report
Nope. Improving DC's unemployment problem ends with an improvement of DCPS. You're mistaking cause for effect.
by oboe on May 14, 2011 9:06 pm • link • report
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