Development
Gentrification a matter of economics, not ethnicity
Is gentrification black and white? Or economic? Last week, at a meeting about the often ominous issue of gentrification, a panel of young black professionals rejected the common idea that gentrification means white people moving into black neighborhoods. Instead, they argued, gentrification is about economics and a product of market forces.
The panel, "The Gentrification of Chocolate City: Reality vs. Perception", featured former director of DC's Department of Housing and Community Development Jalal "Jay" Greene, and GGW contributor and owner of Nspiregreen LLC, Veronica Davis.
In a brief presentation, Hakimu Davidson, of the Greater Washington Urban League's Thursday Network, defined gentrification as "a process by which middle-class people take up residence in a traditionally working-class area of a city, changing the character of the area."
Davidson listed advantages and disadvantages of gentrification. Advantages included an improved use of urban land, safer inner-city neighborhoods, higher tax revenues (to provide more funding for social safety net services such as rental assistance, energy assistance, emergency food assistance, and various other forms of assistance for the city's dependent population) and more business investment.
Among the disadvantages were a displacement of residents, a loss of community identity, and a shift of financial services (from high concentrations of social service expenditures to more recreational and cultural expenditures).
From a strictly economic definition of gentrification, statistics demonstrate that as an area's ethnic identity becomes "whiter," there is a corresponding increase in median household income thus indicating the process is gaining a foothold, according to the panel. This assertion makes logical sense, but, however factually accurate or inaccurate, operates under the dangerous and loaded axiom that people of color are poor and people not of color are wealthy.
This default position often forms the fault line and negotiating position from which conversations at community meetings deteriorate into us versus them sessions leaving people to feel more dejected than they did before attending.
Although the assembled group, almost entirely African-American with a majority female, acknowledged it is "dangerous to say that gentrification is not a race issue," the consensus held strongly that gentrification more closely correlates with economics.
"We over simplify the conversation by looking strictly at a race breakdown. We clamor to define it instead of discussing how to stop it. Each neighborhood has a different story. The issue happens at a micro level, each block by each block, instead of a macro, city-wide level," said Davis, a New Jersey native, who came to DC in the mid 1990's as a student and is a homeowner in the historically middle class neighborhood of Hillcrest in Ward 7.
"Race can't be completely dismissed from the conversation. We are only one generation removed from segregation. People born after 1975 are the first cohort that grew up in a desegregated world, for all intents and purposes, and without overt racism. So really we are first generation where everyone had access to higher education and thus we are starting with higher incomes than previous generations."
Davis cited the DC government's Homestead Program in the late 1990's as a public program that incentivized gentrification. The Homestead Program awarded foreclosed, abandoned, and dilapidated homes at nominal prices in order to move the properties off of the city docket. These homes, often purchased in the U Street and 14th Street NW corridor for less than a thousand dollars, were then fixed up for less than $100,000 and subsequently assessed at $300,000.
Would this have happened naturally? The panel agreed that it would have, but this program "moved the process along faster than what you would usually see organically."
Speakers referenced demographic shifts in the history of the city. Georgetown had a reputation as a slum in the 1920's, and Anacostia was nearly 80% white up until the 1950's. Given this, there was a consensus that change is natural as people come and go between and within neighborhoods. Davis noted that there is an emerging group of middle class African Americans that are "not choosing to buy or if they buy they are typically choosing the big house in Prince George's County."
Further discussion focused on the influence of HUD and HOPE VI projects, of which DC has the largest presence of any American city other than Chicago. "HOPE VI helps the lower income people stay, but it is the middle income people who get displaced. They make too much to qualify for housing programs but they don't make enough to afford the cost of living in the city," the panel said. "These formulas look at the Adjusted Median Income, not the cost of living. We are moving to extremes where we have a city of very high income earners and very low income earners."
One of the problems is a pervasive "fear undertone" that has branded "bike lanes, cupcakes, and dog parks as code for white people," said Davis who pointed to a social component of "a lot of day cares but no pre-schools" in certain neighborhoods that have a heightened fear, alertness, and sensitivity to a real or perceived encroachment of change.
Misinformation was credited with spreading and perpetuating the "fear undertone" according to Greene. "DC has caps on how much your property tax can be raised. There are exemptions for seniors. Nearly half of the multi-family housing stock is rent controlled. Working in Prince George's County, I can tell you Maryland's property taxes are higher than DC."
"It is a polarizing word. One of the main causes is public policy," said Greene. "From that standpoint it is called revitalization. What we try to do is re-concentrate areas of poverty with more mixed income neighborhoods through the investment of public dollars. Hopefully you have positive outcomes but you have negative outcomes at the same time."
The panel and audience agreed that "large pockets of poverty have not worked" and with a movement towards mixed-use development "we try to manage displacement." However, Greene said mixed incoming housing is not a panacea as it is hard to finance by bringing together two sets of investors accustomed to very different systems. "One is used to generous tax credits and one is used to return on investment."
While the conversation was honest and refreshing, it ended back to where it started, as "DC is creating jobs that many residents are increasingly unqualified for there is a supply and demand problem that is not going to go away."
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This may cause some heartburn for people of color who naturally fit the gentrifier mold but see no "value added" by their presence in these areas or at a minimum whose value aren't discussed in the same manner.
by HogWash on Jun 28, 2011 2:40 pm • link • report
by Sam B on Jun 28, 2011 2:51 pm • link • report
by Middle class tax payer on Jun 28, 2011 3:00 pm • link • report
And what would happen if gentrification were driven almost completely by higher earning African Americans displacing lower earning African Americans? Would we see the same amount of fear? I don't know of any examples of this but my gut says no. If I'm right it suggests that while gentrification is might be a change in the economic class of the neighborhood, the fear of that change is based in race.
by Steven Yates on Jun 28, 2011 3:11 pm • link • report
by Steve on Jun 28, 2011 3:29 pm • link • report
I'm sure you would see a lot of derogatory terms thrown around like "uppity," "oreo," etc. There is inherent fear in communities of low socioeconomic status that the smarter, wealthier, more driven folk will take over. This happens at the micro level in the schoolyard and in the macro level in urban communities. In the case, politicians and journalists like to frame the picture in black and white.
I don't understand the phrase "stopping gentrification." Gentrification is a result of economic forces at play, not an action or crime to be committed.
by cmc on Jun 28, 2011 3:32 pm • link • report
Now it's apparently OK to be a gentrifier. Anybody who has been alive more than 40 years will see the glaring hypocrisy.
by Steve on Jun 28, 2011 3:39 pm • link • report
by Tina on Jun 28, 2011 3:40 pm • link • report
by Veronica O. Davis (Ms V) on Jun 28, 2011 3:41 pm • link • report
What it basically gets down to is that the existing residents act as there own interest group which has a stake in certain policies they want maintained, and the influx of new residents dilutes and weakens the existing interest groups and start pushing for different policies.
40 years ago, nobody would embrace the label of gentrification and claim it was just natural economics at work. It was a 100% pejorative term, akin to a crime against impoverished city dwellers.
That is because it would be typically the city using eminent domain to bulldoze entire neighborhoods, displacing the renter-residents will little to no compensation, and replacing them with highrises or city government buildings in the name of "urban revitalization." It's hard to get upset about middle class people buying real estate and living there.
by JustMe on Jun 28, 2011 3:48 pm • link • report
2. http://urbanplacesandspaces.blogspot.com/2008/06/more-about-contested-spaces.html -- based on writings from 2004 and later.
It's class, but differences of all types--age, gender preference, level of educational attainment, etc.
3. "Stopping gentrification" is misdirected. The issue ought to be about "stopping displacement." But since (1) the general discourse on the issue is flawed so we don't see what the issues really are and (2) as a result we don't really have a decent housing policy and wide-ranging approach to this issue, we therefore get displacement big time.
4. middle class tax payer -- poor = class and it's about socialization and mores. While considered a conservative book, I like the discussion about these issues in _The Future Once Happened Here_ by Fred Siegel.
Although, shockingly a couple weeks ago I did see a white bicyclist maybe in his 30s pissing on the Metropolitan Branch Trail, and plenty of white nonpoor people seem to think expectorating in the public space is fine...
5. It happens that just yesterday I read this paper, which isn't that great, but has some interesting points here and there:
jph.sagepub.com/content/10/2/139.abstract
Of course, it's about revitalization in weak markets, and DC is a decidedly strong real estate market, which requires some different strategies like these:
Newman, Kathe, and Wyly, Elvin K. Gentrification and Displacement Revisited: A Fresh Look at the New
York City Experience. Research Bulletin 31. Toronto: Centre for Urban and Community Studies, University
of Toronto. Reprint and slight revision of Urban Studies and Shelterforce articles.
Within the paper there are a few cites for this book, _Reviving America's Forgotten Neighborhoods: An Investigation of Inner City Revitalization Efforts_ which I haven't read, but clearly I need to, especially if I ever do write a book on urban and commercial district revitalization.
Plus, the first chapter in the book _Reconsidering Jane Jacobs_ is in large part about perceived defects in JJ's work, including dealing with displacement and reproduction of spaces into high value districts.
by Richard Layman on Jun 28, 2011 3:51 pm • link • report
by Mike on Jun 28, 2011 3:51 pm • link • report
by Tina on Jun 28, 2011 3:51 pm • link • report
by Richard Layman on Jun 28, 2011 3:53 pm • link • report
by Mike on Jun 28, 2011 3:58 pm • link • report
It's a sad quandary to be in -- poor people want to live in neighborhoods with nice retail and restaurants, but their experience has been that with that revived commercial life comes increased rents, new neighbors who disrupt the status quo, etc. So their only opportunity to forestall their eventual displacement is to oppose the kinds of improvements that attract gentrifiers.
by Matt W on Jun 28, 2011 4:24 pm • link • report
by Tina on Jun 28, 2011 4:27 pm • link • report
But I always like to look at these neighborhoods as great economic boons to the city and the neighborhood themselves. A vital neighborhood supports small business, entrepreneurship, grocers, franchisers, and brings plentiful employment options to the community at many income and socioeconomic levels. It also severely limits the need for numerous liquor stores and check cashiers (which are undoubtedly a detriment to any neighborhood).
@Veronica,
Thanks for the clarification.
by cmc on Jun 28, 2011 4:32 pm • link • report
Well considering that this panel involved Veronica O. Davis, a Black women living in a black community, who likes bike lanes, dog parks and cupcakes, maybe the issue is with how you and your people mischaracterize us. This starts by correcting your friends/associates/family etc on the obvious stereotypes they likely perpetuate which enables them to form conclusion based on clearly faulty evidence.
IMO, it's utter laziness. You can read the various EOTR blogs advocating for some of the same things as we see here.
As lazy as the assumption that white people feared blacks which explains why (when Obama became president) they raided gun shops.
And what would happen if gentrification were driven almost completely by higher earning African Americans displacing lower earning African Americans?
Then it wouldn't be considered gentrification.
by HogWash on Jun 28, 2011 4:47 pm • link • report
Ahhh, spoken like someone w/a limited connection to the city or at least lacking a certain amount of respect/understanding for those locals
by HogWash on Jun 28, 2011 4:57 pm • link • report
One of the problems is a pervasive "fear undertone" that has branded "bike lanes, cupcakes, and dog parks as code for white people," said Davis who pointed to a social component of "a lot of day cares but no pre-schools" in certain neighborhoods that have a heightened fear, alertness, and sensitivity to a real or perceived encroachment of change.
S. Yates simply responded to this reported quote of what was said in the meeting.
by Tina on Jun 28, 2011 4:58 pm • link • report
To these people it will first and always be about race.
by Aunt Jemima on Jun 28, 2011 4:59 pm • link • report
50.55 white
36.04 black
11% hispanic
4% asian
It never adds up to 100% because of the hispanic thing -- they can be any race.
Blacks are a majority in Wards 4 and 5. Big minority in Ward 6. Very small minorities in 1, 2 and 3.
Any discussion on this has to be based on facts and the huge numbers of blacks that left the city in the last 10 years. And the huge number of whites that moved in.
If you believe in straight lines, DC WOTR will be substantially less diverse than Arlington in 10 years. I doubt the straight line will happen because people in Wards 4 and 5 are more stable.
by charlie on Jun 28, 2011 5:23 pm • link • report
I understood where the comment came from. I got that. V attempted to get at the root (fear) of why those things are branded "for" white people. Steven went further and asked why the black community doesn't want those things.
Maybe he could have phrased his question differently?
by HogWash on Jun 28, 2011 5:34 pm • link • report
What Tina said.
I've heard the bike lane and dog park before, and wondered if it a lot of people actually feared those things or if it's a relatively small minority within the African American community. Veronica's quote would seem to suggest that it's a feeling shared by at least a sizable portion of the community.
So if we take it as true for the time being that there is this fear of dog parks and bike lanes, the question becomes why, or more specifically why do they not want these amenities? The framing I've seen in the past seems to be that they actively don't want these things, as opposed to more buses instead of bike lanes or more playgrounds instead of dog parks.
Sorry if my question came off racist, that was not my intent.
by Steven Yates on Jun 28, 2011 5:35 pm • link • report
Also the neighborhoods affected were originally Irish, Greek, Jewish etc. As a Greek who moved back to Greek Alley where my family owned since 1902 am I a gentrifier? I don't feel very gentry. And wealthier DC residents who move back to the Carolinas to retire and displace blue-collar residents, are they gentrifiers?
It a pointless game to get over on the guilt-trippers.
by Tom Coumaris on Jun 28, 2011 5:41 pm • link • report
Again, the white flight from DC was in the years after 1954 and the black flight was in the years after 1968.
After those two enormous events much of the city was pretty much empty. Abandoned houses everywhere. Over half my 1400 block of S in 1975. The only populations being replaced, in most cases, were rodents and cockroaches. (Although they've held on pretty well).
by Tom Coumaris on Jun 28, 2011 5:54 pm • link • report
by Veronica O. Davis (Ms V) on Jun 28, 2011 5:59 pm • link • report
And I guess that's part of my question. I don't see these amenities as being race dependent. But it would appear that there are those out there who do. So how big is the group that feels this way and why do they fell that way?
@Tom Coumaris
I think it becomes a race issue in DC because there really is no working class white neighborhood in DC right now. So you are basically left with rich white people displacing poor black people. Obviously this is an over generalization (there's probably some other ethnic groups thrown in there) but this one seems the most common, at least judging by the debates on the topic.
by Steven Yates on Jun 28, 2011 6:13 pm • link • report
My earlier statement was a bit off: there is a substantial black population in ward 1.
However, just looking WOTR at Wards 1,4,5 and 6, you see:
57,000 blacks moved out
42,000 whites moved in
as compared to 2000. Not sure about 1990.
The largest, of course, is Ward 6. 32,000 blacks moved out of ward 6, and 16,000 whites moved in.
To pretend gentrification in DC wasn't about moving blacks out is silly. It is. It will probably change, as WOTR most poor blacks are gone, and there is limited opportunity to uproot more established families.
by charlie on Jun 28, 2011 6:16 pm • link • report
by Veronica O. Davis (Ms V) on Jun 28, 2011 6:21 pm • link • report
your comment @5:59 negates the very fear/dislike/association of these things that you gave voice to at the meeting. Were you trying to help dispell that fear in the meeting? I'm just trying to understand. It sounds like in the meetg you gave voice to that association that seems to be held by many-but in so doing you were trying to dispell that fear/association?
Thanks for your help in interpreting the post.
by Tina on Jun 28, 2011 6:27 pm • link • report
The 1400 block of S was known as "Greek Alley" back in the day? For real? I had no idea. (I'm Greek-American, myself)
by JustMe on Jun 28, 2011 6:36 pm • link • report
by Veronica O. Davis (Ms V) on Jun 28, 2011 6:40 pm • link • report
I was chosen for one of the houses in the Logan Circle program but it's price- $19,000 was just not as good as the $25,000 I got my present home for, even though I paid twice what it had sold for 6 months earlier.
I was stupid enough to get involved with the low-interest renovation program DC had east of 15th for mid-income homeowners. After I signed the loan papers they had to obtain a contractor for me and supervise work. They didn't for two years. The Washington Star had a front story on how a young government attorney was living in a shell with no heat, an electric cord from neighbors, and showering at work because of this mess.
But the monthly payments kept coming on the loan and when DC finally got a contractor, and I had to move out for work, they told me to not worry about the payments until the work was finished and I could move back. They would roll the past due payments over into a new loan. When half the work originally called for was finished, for the original loan, making it possible to move back I phoned about setting up the repayment. I was told I had been foreclosed on the day before. Then I had to spend a year and $50,000 to fight foreclosure and eventually worked out a deal where I kept my home but had to pay the loan in cash because in the three years my income had risen over middle-income limits.
That DC program was no give-away, it was a horrible disaster.
by Tom Coumaris on Jun 28, 2011 6:43 pm • link • report
by Veronica O. Davis (Ms V) on Jun 28, 2011 6:46 pm • link • report
Yes. Thats a conundrum. This is shared by those white artists seeking inexpensive space in abandoned neighborhoods (the kind Tom C. describes as Shaw 35 years ago with many empty houses). So, is it gentrification when white people with more money displace other whites? This is what cmc and S. Yates asked. I
by Tina on Jun 28, 2011 7:10 pm • link • report
Not the block, the alley running from Swann to R Streets. Greeks had shops and cafes on the first floors in the 1700 block of 14th and lived above. The names ranged from Hafales to more famous Calomiris and Pelocanos.(George Pelecanos the crime author and "The Wire" author recently sold his family home which was the building next to the Verizon building. They had a cafe downstairs).
My cousins the Elafisides (changed their name to "Lake" !?!) owned the house next to me, 1415 S, since 1902. In my part of the alley, behind the 1800 block of 14th, Greek immigrants lived in my carriage house and the one that had been behind 1402 Swann. The George Coumaris family lived here briefly but by 1920 my house was 3 apartments, one of which had a Greek/Italian husband and an African-American wife. She was refused admittance at Providence Hospital maternity because of mixed race, but the baby, born on the lawn, came to visit me every year after I moved in for her entire life.
More history here than anyone wants to acknowledge.
by Tom Coumaris on Jun 28, 2011 7:28 pm • link • report
by Malik on Jun 28, 2011 7:45 pm • link • report
by Veronica O. Davis (Ms V) on Jun 28, 2011 8:47 pm • link • report
In DC, places like Adams-Morgan, Brookland, and Mt Pleasant never entirely lost their white populations and much of the displacement has involved low income white renters (interns, artsy types, students). The slow gentrification that is becoming evident in places like Hillcrest involves young middle class whites replacing older middle class blacks who are cashing out at retirement. The first serious gentrifiers in LeDroit park were African-Americans who recognized the historical place of the neighborhood in Black DC.
The truly displaced, in my experience, are renters, usually those without much tenure in their places. My African-American neighbors in Atlanta who owned and were relatively young invested in their properties. The older folks did more minor upgrades but tended to eventually cash out and leave after awhile. My next door neighbors were long-term renters (20+ years) and they left after the older of the two renters moved in with family in SC because of declining health. At that point, the owner decided to renovate the house for his girlfriend. Many houses in that area were bought for back taxes--they were houses without stable owners and usually had had unstable renters with brief tenures. Those are the folks who are most affected by changing rents. Their transience often includes unstable families and other problems. People with long-term tenure in gentrifying neighborhoods seem to adapt much more and often welcome many, though not all, of the changes. I tended to be on the old timers' side in Atlanta. The local hardware was replaced by an overpriced mediocre restaurant and redoing the old commercial district included nothing useful like a drug store or a bank which would have appealed to everyone in the area, as opposed to the stuff that got built, which tended toward mediocre overpriced cafes or "winebars".
The Cakelove guy is from Cleveland Heights, Ohio---an inner ring mixed income (more mixed than anywhere in DC) and suburb with beautiful homes that experienced gentrification in some vintage neighborhoods during the 70s. I used to live there. Of all the places I've lived, it has always been my favorite. To some extent, he probably was a child of gentrification before he brought it to U St.
by Rich on Jun 28, 2011 9:42 pm • link • report
by Rich on Jun 28, 2011 9:50 pm • link • report
I want to challenge the common perception that middle income people don't qualify for housing programs in DC. That's not true. I'm a young, black professional who has researched such programs. Now there are not enough programs for moderate/middle income people, but there are some programs. They are generally classified as workforce housing. There are currently workforce housing programs that offer assistance for those who make up to 120% of the a.m.i. or $119,025.
by PoliNerd on Jun 29, 2011 4:06 am • link • report
I wasn't in attendance but I would guess that even Veronica doesn't believe that view is found among a sizeable portion of our community. If we're speaking about "specific" neighborhoods w/in our community, Veronica explains when saying, "Each neighborhood has a different story. The issue happens at a micro level, each block by each block, instead of a macro, city-wide level,"
That said, I don't understand why it's difficult for others to understand why people in certain areas EOTR don't advocate for dog parks and bike lanes. EOTR just got it's FIRST sit-down restaurant last year..or maybe late 2009. Those in N'hoods lacking basic quality of life amenities usually don't see dog parks and bike lanes as something integral to their areas. So what many of you see as anti-those things, I see as, "Why are we wasting money on [...] when we need so much of [...]. The proposed streetcars in Anacostia is a good example.
But of course you have the rabble rousers...the dog whistlers who personally benefit from leading people to believe these "agendas" out there. Marion Barry and Al Sharpton has been guilty in places EOTR. And the entire media establishment WOTR and FentyRhee were guilty as well. I've lived here for 11 years and can never recall a city so divided and atmosphere so toxic. At its core, the vitriol against Fenty was tangible - based on his performance while in office. The vitriol against Gray was based on his performance in 1992. Moreso in the later case, the dog whistled L O U D L Y</>
by HogWash on Jun 29, 2011 7:24 am • link • report
I'm glad for the conversation on bikelanes/cupcakes/dogparks though. I was under the impression, based largely on the statements of DC black leaders as reported online and in print, that that a large portion of the black community didn't want these things. I've also often wondered about why the attractiveness/usefulness of these things would be divided by race. The conversation here sounds like it's just a vocal minority.
Can someone help clarify to me how displacement actually occurs? I'm aware that property tax increases are limited (especially if you sign up for the homestead deduction, available to everyone who owns and lives in their primary residence in DC), rent increases are limited if the landlord owns 4 or more units, and there's tax exemptions available for the elderly (I'm not so sure about the poor). With all of these programs in effect, by what mechanism are people en masse displaced against their will? When we talk about displacement, are we talking about people selling their homes as well? As I understand it, many people who bought these homes for surprisingly low prices, and by selling them are now able to buy rather large homes in the burbs (and often choose to do so.) "Gentrification" provides working-class homeowners with a fantastic wealth transfer and with it comes greater purchasing options for homes -- that seems good to me, not bad.
So I guess, I don't understand how people are being displaced against their will. If you can explain, and even better if you know of any evidence that it occurs, I'd like to know. And for those who are being "displaced" by their own choice, nobody says that's a bad thing, right?
by Jared on Jun 29, 2011 8:23 am • link • report
Just as a side-note, the idea that middle-class amenities are a "white thing" is pretty pervasive in popular culture. To take a trivial example, you can see this in the viral website "Stuff White People Like".
Sure some entries ("#110 - Frisbee Sports") can be amusing, but stuff like "Farmer's Markets" "Yoga" and "Recycling", not so much. It just reinforces the negative stereotype that middle-class tastes and behavior are "acting white". That's toxic for the everybody, and tends to create a racially-oriented rallying point for anti-progressive agenda. ("Healthy food in schools? White!")
Not cool.
by oboe on Jun 29, 2011 9:32 am • link • report
What people are calling displacement is simply "my economic constituents are leaving, and the new person is not one of my economic constituents". It's political power theater by the old guard civil rights era politicians (Gray and Co.) who have found their comfy constituencies disappearing. And 40 years ago neighborhood turnover happened to every race and ethnicity and no one batted an eye because it was just "the neighborhood got old and young families are now moving in". It's been happening in America since America had neighborhoods.
The racial aspect is two things 1) white people think black people are "taking over the neighborhood" when 8% of the residents are black. I think that's the same human effect that's happening here with blacks. Only bad people with racism in their heart fear black people moving in, and the same is true for people who fear white people moving in. We don't need to perpetuate the insecurities of bad people. It doesn't make the country or the city stronger 2) it's an extremely convenient argument for anyone too lazy to get to know anyone from another race.
by ahk on Jun 29, 2011 9:44 am • link • report
Your analysis was flawed. The apartments in upper Northwest are more expensive than gentrifying neighborhoods. In fact, there's really no comparison between the Connecticut Avenue or Wisconsin Avenue corridors and the "up and coming" neighborhoods. Upper Northwest has a lot of luxury apartments and some people gravitate toward that. Some take a "fixer-upper" in a moderately dangerous neighborhood with a hope that it will appreciate. Totally different appeal for either choice.
by The Heights on Jun 29, 2011 10:03 am • link • report
Of course, these things can and do happen anywhere, but "gentrification" -- which IMO chiefly means that those who move out for whatever reason are likely to be succeeded by people with different socioeconomic characteristics -- can, for example, increase the market rate for rentals (what landlords can realistically hope to get for their units). This surely makes landlords more likely to seek (legal) rent increases than they would otherwise be and thereby causes the people living on the edge to fall off at a greater rate than before. (Politics aside, measuring such processes is a very interesting research problem.)
by davidj on Jun 29, 2011 10:17 am • link • report
Wasn't this by design? I had the impression that many people EOTR have a strong stake in the area being purely residential, and restaurant businesses, especially ones that served alcohol, were considered pretty much unwelcome (as they are unwelcome in many parts WOTR, as well).
by JustMe on Jun 29, 2011 10:35 am • link • report
I was under the impression, based largely on the statements of DC black leaders as reported online and in print, that that a large portion of the black community didn't want these things.
If you will, please reread my earlier statement about the media and dog whistlers. I have no doubt that they largely share the blame for why you had that impression. Why do I say this? Well, look at the facts. Just of the top, who are the black leaders who said that black folk don't want these things? Marion Barry? Although I can't recall him saying that he's the only person I can think of who would. What I do remember many of us saying is similar to what I said above. That is, black folk in some areas EOTR do not see bike lanes and cupcake shops as "integral" to the functioning of our communities.
Now this is something I believe is a fact. However, it's not how it is translate by the media and dog whislters. They led many DC residents to believe that black folk didn't want these things and used as an example a random (likely unemployed) resident to speak for the entire community. It's no different than TV screens failing to show those in our community who are being progressive. Instead, the representatives too many times are inarticulate mothers or family members waxing about how good [...] was. W/that as a backdrop, it's no wonder why people think negatively about us as a group rather than individuals.
I personally think many anti-gray folk were sold a bag of rocks in part because it fed into a "feeling" they had. In this case, these feelings weren't based on rational thought..but an emotional one. In some cases, that also applied to Fenty. But also to DAl (and his endorsement), Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, George Bush, Condoleeza Rice etc.
I tend not to form my opinion based on someone else's feelings about a person or subect.
by HogWash on Jun 29, 2011 10:35 am • link • report
There is plenty of evidence to support the thesis that gentrification does not actually displace people any faster - any neighborhood has a natural rate of turnover as people move in and out, as people are born and as they die, etc.
by Alex B. on Jun 29, 2011 10:37 am • link • report
Really? I haven't gotten that impression. Now if I were to really use generalizations, I would venture to say that I don't see why EOTR residents wouldn't want a sit-down restaurant (in part because they served alcohol) when there's a liquor store and unhealthy food options on every corner near you, me and the rest. But to your point, I don't think that impression is based of something real..more perception than not.
by HogWash on Jun 29, 2011 10:39 am • link • report
@AlexB; 60,000 blacks moving out of Ward 6 in 10 years is a bit higher than the natural decrease, no? I'd say the other wards track your pattern (around 8000 blacks leaving) but not ward 6.
by charlie on Jun 29, 2011 10:54 am • link • report
The process of changing Chocolate City to Harlequin / Orange Sherbet / Chili Pepper / Latin /East and West African / South Asian / Caribbean City has been helped along considerably by African-Americans.
MARION BARRY when Mayor played a pivotal role in getting the ball rolling by giving great deals to developers 20 plus years ago. Mayor Barry, probably not wanting to admit this now, nurtured the beast that became Penn Quarter and newly gentrified, older downtown about with real estate deals in the 1980s.
Isn't that the way capitalism works?
Black folks also ride bicycles, like bike lanes, like dog parks and eat cupcakes, by the way.
Why do we insist on pigeon-holing people endless?
Now back to helping the racially-mixed (black-white), professional, educated, vegan lesbians moving in up the block who bought their home from an elderly African-American couple delighted to be returning to the Carolinas with a chunk of change in their pockets they never expected not too many years ago.
Good for them. Good for everyone.
by A.B. Hunt on Jun 29, 2011 10:56 am • link • report
Can you show your work on those numbers? I've seen you use several different figures for the same stat.
And no, that number alone does not show displacement at all - it certainly doesn't offer any sort of proof.
by Alex B. on Jun 29, 2011 11:03 am • link • report
I never mentioned price.
I was talking about demand, though I did not say so explicitly. People are moving into these new neighborhoods at a higher rate and developers and small businesses are anxious to make their presence known and give the residents (w/ money to spend) what they want. And what they want is a neighborhood with a life.
There is little argument to make against the fact that the apartment superblocks in upper northwest lack many of the community features of the revitalized neighborhoods in DC. They do it better than the suburbs, yes, but NIMBYs dont like change. This has been documented many times over here at GGW.
The point I am to make is as the inner city returns to greatness, the poor may find themselves displaced, nevertheless, it remains a net benefit to all.
by cmc on Jun 29, 2011 11:57 am • link • report
It does seem that if this really happens, it has a fairly small effect relative to other aspects of natural turnover.
by davidj on Jun 29, 2011 11:57 am • link • report
So let's say white people moved into that house instead of a long-time Black resident. They could have chose white picket fences in suburbia too, but they didn't. They wanted to live in the District. Of course economics are at play, but it's very complicated and messy and includes all sorts of social factors as well! It's just as reductive and unproductive to claim it's all about income or class as it is to reduce it to race.
by TP on Jun 29, 2011 12:01 pm • link • report
Data is from DC planning website and census counts:
Formatting is a mess, sorry.
in 2000:
(Ward, Total, Black, White, HIspanic, ASian)
Ward 1 73129 24794 36864 15827 3156
Ward 2 73915 1079 57317 7570 6942
ward 3 77152 3860 64447 5796 5146
Ward 4 75773 44459 18601 14179 1218
Ward 5 74308 56489 12259 4707 1037
Ward 6 76598 31842 38047 3170 3161
Ward 7 71068 67471 1291 1653 136
Ward 8 70712 69550 2645 1307 260
592655 299544 231471 54209 21056
In 2000:
Ward 1 70056 33554 22276 18109 2588
Ward 2 66968 13727 45036 6997 5269
ward 3 71826 4259 61647 5027 4231
Ward 4 71831 52407 13112 9237 721
Ward 5 71376 62846 6796 1856 607
Ward 6 66604 66604 21513 2053 1339
Ward 7 69822 68312 976 658 133
Ward 8 70130 65533 3745 1016 301
Total black loss White gain
Ward 1 8760 -14588
Ward 2 12648 -12281
ward 3 399 -2800
Ward 4 7948 -5489
Ward 5 6357 -5463
Ward 6 34762 -16534
Ward 7 841 -315
Ward 8 -4017 1100
67698 -56370
as you can see, Ward 6 is an anolomy. Ward 2 a bit so. The rest pretty much as you describe (natural process of turnover)
by charlie on Jun 29, 2011 12:40 pm • link • report
Just want to point out that, while this kind of stance is understanding, it's completely counterproductive. If you want "sit-down restaurants" you spend money on infrastructure that appeals to middle-class folks with lots of disposable income. Then private investment will drive development. As folks have touched on above, the reason a lot of folks have fought public improvements is that there's a fear it will lead to gentrification. It's a paradox.
Private investors aren't going to build bike-lanes; and DCHA isn't going to spin-off a restaurant group.
by oboe on Jun 29, 2011 1:07 pm • link • report
I am really confused. I thought that demographic wanted food trucks?
by charlie on Jun 29, 2011 1:33 pm • link • report
by Scoot on Jun 29, 2011 2:27 pm • link • report
Whether it's counterproductive is irrelevant to the question of "why" some people (especially those in poorer areas of towns) don't see bike lanes and dog parks as integral to their communities. There are hosts of middle class communities around the country that aren't advocating for bike lanes and dog parks. Those simply amenities that appeals to "some" middle class people in "some" middle class communities.
Folks fight public improvements because they fear change and are especially resistant to changes that are perceived to disrupt their way of life.
I think that's a much better understanding and explanation as to why people "fear" change than the ones often presented here and other places. Can't disagree with that!
by HogWash on Jun 29, 2011 3:03 pm • link • report
by Alan Page on Jun 29, 2011 3:13 pm • link • report
by Veronica O. Davis (Ms V) on Jun 29, 2011 3:27 pm • link • report
by Tina on Jun 29, 2011 4:00 pm • link • report
True 'nuff. I'd just point out that the amenities in this particular area need to appeal to members of this particular community. Which is why we don't have an opulent and publicly-funded Country Music Hall of Fame in the District.
by oboe on Jun 30, 2011 7:36 am • link • report
by dcotda - chair on Jun 30, 2011 10:04 am • link • report
http://sociologyinmyneighborhood.blogspot.com/2011/06/urban-renewal-and-grief-in-ward-6.html
by Johanna on Jun 30, 2011 12:22 pm • link • report
I think currently it's "hip" to live in the city center versus the suburbs. Therefore there has been an influx of upper/middle class folks (of all racee) into the city. As the neighborhoods become overpriced or too crowded, developers seem to look for the next "hot" upcoming neighborhood, and the people follow cause they want the "hip" factor yet they don't want to pay the high rent/mortgages.
While for sure there are many sad stories of displacement, particularly of renters and low income/rent controlled housing dwellers, there are also many happy stories (less reported by the way) of lower/middle class folks of all races who owned their homes and have benefited a great deal by selling them now at a much higher price.
Case in pt, I know a lower/middle class African-American couple who are now in their 60s. They bought their home in Columbia Heights in the 1980s for 15K. They just sold it for $650K. That's a huge chunk of change. It's basically what they will use for their retirement.
If CoHe had never developed they would not be able to retire early, which now they can do.
I think we like to focus on the negative aspects of change, but there are also positive ones..and I bet more than we are willing to admit.
by LuvDusty on Jul 7, 2011 12:14 pm • link • report
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