Parking
Prices affect parking less than San Francisco expected
Perfomance parking has not has as big an impact as was expected in San Francisco. Even with high rates, popular blocks still fill up, and other blocks remain under-filled even at low prices.
SFPark is an innovative, federally-supported performance parking pilot program. But it will adjust meter rates in its seven pilot areas this month Each time San Francisco has adjusted the rates, the spread between the least expensive and the most expensive blocks has increased. After this latest adjustment, parking rates will vary from a low of $0.75 up to $4.25/hr. To date, the most crowded blocks have typically continued to be crowded even after adjusting the prices upward, while under-occupied blocks have not filled up even after dropping the price.
If the pricing spread continues to widen, parking on some blocks in San Francisco will be a considerable bargain compared to spaces even one block away. One particular block in the Civic Center area is $0.75/hr while the next block is $3.25/hr until noon, and then $3.75/hr from noon until 3pm.
At Fisherman's Wharf, parking can range from $1.50/hr to $2.75/hr within a few blocks as proximity to the tourist attractions in the North increases. In the Marina area, a one-block difference could mean paying $1.50 more for an hour of parking.
Even these steep price differences don't seem to be causing the cheaper blocks to fill up. Blocks in the program that end up below their target occupancy will again have their prices reduced during the next round of adjustments.
San Francisco is collecting data about congestion relief in the areas targeted in the SFPark program. It appears we've learned several lessons already.
This performance parking experiment is demonstrating that on high-demand blocks, drivers are very insensitive to price increases. The experiment is also showing that parking demand is highly localized, with price differences of as much as 100% continuing even through two adjustment cycles.
On the other hand, there's still more to learn.
Even if blocks are missing their target occupancy, performance parking could still be having a positive effect. Are the prices leading to a higher turnover in available spaces? And if so, are the available spaces leading to a reduction in drivers hunting for parking, as the theory suggests?
Are there other factors that could be influencing the success of the program at changing parking demand, such as the size of the pilot zones or their proximity to non-pilot zone areas? Or do city administrators and performance parking advocates need to fundamentally reexamine assumptions about performance parking systems?
According to project advisor Donald Shoup, the project report will answer these questions later next year. The things planners learn in San Francisco could have a big impact on the way we think about and design parking and parking policy.
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I'd hypothesize that lots of people would gladly park 2-3 blocks away for half the cost if they knew that was available to them without simply cruising around.
I'd also note that building up those kinds of patterns for parkers will take time. Three rate adjustments within the span of a few months isn't enough time for parkers to learn those intricacies.
by Alex B. on Dec 13, 2011 12:17 pm • link • report
by Sam on Dec 13, 2011 12:20 pm • link • report
by Charles on Dec 13, 2011 12:22 pm • link • report
by dcdriver on Dec 13, 2011 12:38 pm • link • report
The title says the results are less responsive to price than expected, but the post itself makes no reference to what that expectation was.
by Alex B. on Dec 13, 2011 12:51 pm • link • report
Also, it is impossible to model demand here. Even a block level model isn't grannular enough.
I wonder how much money Shoup is making off this.
by charlie on Dec 13, 2011 12:53 pm • link • report
Even if I knew this was a performance parking zone, I need to park now and here is a space. I know rates might be lower somewhere else, I don't know where to go, how far away I need to go, how much I would have to pay (could be higher) and whether there would be a space available. Without this information, I might just pay the price for the spot right here.
There should be a technology fix for this situation and I hope that they are working on it.
by josey23 on Dec 13, 2011 12:55 pm • link • report
My guess is it's lack of information; people just look for some close parking and don't really care what it costs.
by MLD on Dec 13, 2011 1:00 pm • link • report
by MLD on Dec 13, 2011 1:03 pm • link • report
Well, they are insensitive to prices up to $4.25/hr which still seem really, really cheap to me for a parking spot very close to one or more extremely popular destination. Try $15, $20 or $30/hr and see what happens. BONUS: the city makes more money if you do it this way.
by Do the Math on Dec 13, 2011 1:03 pm • link • report
I agree. Compared to the rates in garages in some of those high-demand areas, $4.25/hour is still a bargain.
There's also Alex's comment that people (especially tourists) may not have any clue that cheaper, easier parking is available a few blocks away. While there may be a handful of drivers who are seriously price-and-aggravation-adverse, a few blocks is not too far for most people.*
*This is apparently not true in supermarket/mall parking lots where people will pass up parking spaces in order to drive around in an endless loop to park marginally closer to the entrance. I suspect these are the same people who use their car to check the mailbox at the end of the driveway.
by Adam L on Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm • link • report
by David on Dec 13, 2011 1:14 pm • link • report
Unfortunately, a friend of mine was recently ticketed for using the iPhone app to look for nearby parking spots. He had pulled into one of the expensive spots and was looking for a cheaper one at the time. Under the California law, they can apparently ticket you unless you turn the car off, which wastes gas and defeats some of the value of looking for a cheaper spot.
by Arl Fan on Dec 13, 2011 1:30 pm • link • report
by Allan on Dec 13, 2011 1:31 pm • link • report
by CityBeautiful21 on Dec 13, 2011 1:36 pm • link • report
When measuring this stuff, you've got to define short term vs. long term. Long term -- $4 parking will change behavior over a period of years. Short term -- I doubt it.
@adamL; your parking lot people are everywhere. It is a bad habit -- and one that is very commonplace. Much better to go NYC style and just double park on the street and wait for a space to open up.
Since the entire idea of performace parking is reducing congestion, I'd like to see how that works. Having people run around a low speeds looking for spots on the their mobile seems to make congestion worse, rather than better.
by charlie on Dec 13, 2011 1:38 pm • link • report
If not, and assuming the deck pricing can be controlled for, then I would say that those citing the lack of information and non-marginal-cost feel to using a credit card are probably onto the heart of the matter.
by CityBeautiful21 on Dec 13, 2011 1:39 pm • link • report
by Richard Layman on Dec 13, 2011 1:41 pm • link • report
The driver can either instruct Sync to find parking/cost options in the drivers vicinity or, even better, tell Sync at the onset of the trip that the driver will be looking for curbside parking near the destination address.
by bmv818 on Dec 13, 2011 1:47 pm • link • report
by goldfish on Dec 13, 2011 1:51 pm • link • report
1. $4.25/hr downtown on a weekday is an excellent deal, especially since street parking is usually more convenient than garage parking. The price cap is too low.
2. Notice how that website has all the private garages, but not the street prices. The private sector is getting the information to its customers; the public section is not.
by tom veil on Dec 13, 2011 1:53 pm • link • report
If the app works correctly, it should be simple to understand at a glance.
If you can see the street grid on the app, a perfect example would be parking in the red zone (between 5th and 9th streets) is 4.50 an hour and parking in the blue zones (1st to 4th streets and 10th to 15th streets) is 1.50 an hour.
I think there is much more elasticity to price sensivity than just a four dollar difference. They need to keep raising the rates in order to encourage people to look for cheaper means.
This must be good news for city budgets. People are willing to pay a lot more for parking in high demand areas. Who would have thought?
by cmc on Dec 13, 2011 2:00 pm • link • report
1. Downtown SF and the Civic Center have a complex network of one-way traffic sewers, so despite being on grids, they are quite difficult to navigate, and it can take 10+ minutes to just find a place to circle around to where you were.
2. Those same areas can become substantially more or less gritty over a distance of just a block or two. Maybe the blocks that are more expensive feel "safer"?
3. Maybe a lot of the parkers are tourists, who are more sensitive to the first two reasons than average, and less likely to know about the app.
4. More people are choosing to drive if their business downtown is short? $4.25 is about the same as Muni and definitely cheaper than BART if you are only staying an hour or so.
by Take the A-Train on Dec 13, 2011 2:04 pm • link • report
C'mon people, outside the box thinking!
by MLD on Dec 13, 2011 2:05 pm • link • report
by Michael Perkins on Dec 13, 2011 2:06 pm • link • report
The more interesting question is whether revenue balances out -- or after substracing your contractor fees, new meters, and all thae fancy stuff, the city would have made more money by raising rates at 10 cents across the board.
Now, I see an argument for rush hour parking. Want to park on M st in Georgetown during rush hour. No problem -- $20 an hour. You could automate ticketing and fire the tow truck operators.*
* still cheaper is go Arlington on them and hire out merc-tow trucks that will tow you at exactly 4:01 to private lots for $150 fines.
by charlie on Dec 13, 2011 2:28 pm • link • report
I'd be interested to know how parking behavior changes based on the price. So when the price is $2, how long does the average parker pay for? Do they feed the meter, etc.? When the price is $4, do people pay for less time on average?
by MLD on Dec 13, 2011 2:30 pm • link • report
by Chris on Dec 13, 2011 2:52 pm • link • report
Counterpoint: The bag tax works, and that's only $0.05, although that may be somewhat apples-to-oranges.
by andrew on Dec 13, 2011 3:07 pm • link • report
If every block had a sign proclaiming the parking price, or if every car had an easy map displaying parking prices, people's behavior would probably be different.
by MLD on Dec 13, 2011 3:15 pm • link • report
by AWalkerInTheCity on Dec 13, 2011 3:25 pm • link • report
Prime parking may remain prime across even punishing parking costs. Nonprime parking may remain so even if its free or largely unregulated. The assumptions here on the part of planners and drivers are important and those of the planners may not necessarily have any resemblence to those of parkers.
by Rich on Dec 13, 2011 4:20 pm • link • report
Especially because when pulling up to a parking meter NOBODY thinks "let me check the internet to see if there are cheaper meters".
Thats not how it works. The assumption is that all parking meters in a given area will cost the same. Thats how it has always worked in SF, and thats how it works almost everywhere else. And with the exception of transit nerds and such who read websites like this, the thought simply wont cross anyones mind. For most, parking meters are just what they are. You pay what it says, no questions asked.
What they need are signs on the meter itself saying "Save $2.50 an hour by parking on x street or y street. Check sfpark.com for current rates"
And even then, if one is only parking for an hour or two...is $2.50 really incentive to get back in the car and try and find another spot...?
by JJJJJ on Dec 13, 2011 4:23 pm • link • report
However, I'm pretty sure the anacostia is still polluted, and dc is paying fines on rainy days. I
by Charlie on Dec 13, 2011 4:42 pm • link • report
by YouStreet on Dec 13, 2011 4:48 pm • link • report
I agree that this may not be very well publicized. I didn't remember seeing anything about SF Park when I was there.
But people are forgetting the main benefit of this plan is to let people know where parking is available. The fact that parking prices in those areas is cheaper is really just an added benefit. If a driver has found a space and is already looking at a meter, the battle is lost. What would have been helpful is to know that parking is plentiful while you were circling around looking for a space. I have no idea how to do that unless you provide great signage (like parking garages that tell you the number of open spaces) and heavily advertise the online website.
by Adam L on Dec 13, 2011 5:07 pm • link • report
Maybe it can be taken as encouraging for the city that 1) parking demand is perhaps not very high in some areas, and 2) those who do choose to park are willing to pay high prices for prime spots.
by RTA on Dec 13, 2011 5:40 pm • link • report
Performance parking doesn't always mean "expensive". In fact, each of the rounds of adjustments had large numbers of blocks with price reductions, about as many as had price increases.
by Michael Perkins on Dec 13, 2011 5:56 pm • link • report
$4.25 an hour is not a bad rate for parking in peak demand areas in San Francisco. Maybe the lack of elasticity in the demand for prime parking spaces isn't such a bad thing. Let the city hike the charge to $10 per hour and use the funds for walking, biking, and transit projects.
And if very few people want to park on certain blocks even at 50c per hour, the City isn't losing anything. Price is one consideration in deciding where one parks, but it's hardly the one.
by Wanderer on Dec 13, 2011 10:44 pm • link • report
by Rich on Dec 13, 2011 11:27 pm • link • report
One might have expected...
That's what's still missing from this piece. Who expected this? And what, exactly, did they expect? The article answers neither of those questions.
There is no mention of what, specifically, those expectations were. The only allusion is to the broader notion of achieving occupancy targets, but that's far too vague to be an expectation.
The other factor is when did they (whomever 'they' is) expect it (whatever 'it' is)? Professor Shoup's quote at least sheds some light on that subject - namely, that it's way too early to leap to any conclusions.
It would seem, from this article, that you think the very fact that rates are changing again means that the project is not meeting expectations - which seems like a rather absurd premise, to be honest.
by Alex B. on Dec 13, 2011 11:43 pm • link • report
Performance parking is good because it allows parking space to be used more efficiently. Fewer empty parking spaces in the city means more people are able to use cars. The downside is that it's economically regressive.
by Bertie on Dec 13, 2011 11:55 pm • link • report
This expectation was based on the amount of complaining people and local businesses normally do when cities propose even the slightest change in parking prices.
by Michael Perkins on Dec 14, 2011 12:56 am • link • report
by Danny B. on Dec 14, 2011 3:27 am • link • report
by cheapskate on Dec 14, 2011 8:36 am • link • report
For the city point of view, to maximize revenue: just uniformly increase the rates everywhere; use meter time limits to allocate the resource and get more $. For the point of view of the drivers, they will look for the nearest spot to their destination, like they always do. Adding "the market" bidding complexity is a hassle not appreciated by either party.
by goldfish on Dec 14, 2011 9:01 am • link • report
The city's goal is not to maximize revenue.
by Alex B. on Dec 14, 2011 9:08 am • link • report
by goldfish on Dec 14, 2011 9:18 am • link • report
http://sfpark.org/faq/the-basics/#
Is SFpark a way for the City to raise revenue?
No. The primary goal of SFpark is to improve parking availability. Hourly parking rates may increase in high-demand areas and at high-demand times but rates will also decrease in low-demand areas and times. While parking meter revenues may increase, parking ticket revenue will decrease due to longer time limits and new meters that make it easy to pay. By reducing circling and double-parking, SFpark will help the SFMTA reduce Muni costs by speeding up buses and streetcars.
Now, that might very well have a revenue impact, but that's not the goal.
by Alex B. on Dec 14, 2011 9:24 am • link • report
by goldfish on Dec 14, 2011 9:37 am • link • report
No, it is not quibbling. I can sell lots of stuff at lots of different price points. I could chose to sell things at cost, or sell to the highest bidder (which is not what this is), or I could chose to sell based on any other number of goals.
Why? Because the stated goal is to use the market to allocate spaces so that you achieve 80-90% occupancy.
The reality is that the price on any given block that achieves that goal is going to be different from the price that would maximize revenue. Ergo, the primary goal is a transportation one - to efficiently allocate a scarce resource of on-street parking.
by Alex B. on Dec 14, 2011 9:52 am • link • report
It's not quibbling; as you just said, the primary goal is to allocate the resource using the market. That's different from revenue generation as the primary goal.
You seem to be arguing that the city put revenue generation as goal #1, the primary goal of the SFpark scheme. Neither what the city has said nor what they have implemented indicates that revenue generation is the only goal, or even the primary goal.
by MLD on Dec 14, 2011 9:53 am • link • report
by goldfish on Dec 14, 2011 10:04 am • link • report
In the hotel example, there's a cost to the hotel for servicing a room. There's some price that's so low it's not worth it to even rent the room - and that's pricing it at cost, forgetting about profit. That's not the case for parking.
If the fundamental goal of the hotel was to providing accomodations so that 80-90% of their rooms were in use regardless of price, then you'd see a different price structure than you would for a hotel seeking to maximize profit.
by Alex B. on Dec 14, 2011 10:14 am • link • report
by David C on Dec 14, 2011 10:50 am • link • report
I think what parts are the busiest and most desirable should be pretty easy to figure out, and what direction you should go to find cheaper parking if you know that the price varies by demand. Maybe you won't be able to guess to the second decimal place, but you might be able to guess that's it's cheaper if you go a block or two in "that direction".
by Michael Perkins on Dec 14, 2011 11:03 am • link • report
Sure, people can intuit that - if they have information. Again, it all comes back to communicating that information to them.
by Alex B. on Dec 14, 2011 11:09 am • link • report
Maybe if you use your credit card, SFpark should send you an e-mail saying "you could park for less next time!" or advertise this on the meters.
There is an ingrained assumption that parking costs what it costs in a neighborhood and that it's not variable. Break that assumption, and then people will start to behave using that intuition.
by MLD on Dec 14, 2011 11:13 am • link • report
by icarus12 on Dec 14, 2011 3:22 pm • link • report
Here's one idea. Use a simple color-coding scheme. Put red borders/color schemes around parking signs/meters in high-cost areas ($3 or more pre hour), yellow ones around mid priced ones ($1-$3) and green ones around those less than a $1 per hour. And then there could be signs at intersections in red zones that use the Parking symbol, colored appropriately, and pointing toward the cheaper parking.
by David C on Dec 14, 2011 3:48 pm • link • report
That's an interesting idea, but the problematic with the 'performance' part of it. The signs would have to be dynamic, since the price varies at any given time of day. Likewise, the prices have the potential to change every month.
by Alex B. on Dec 14, 2011 3:54 pm • link • report
I think it's still far too early to draw conclusions. Increases were limited to 25c/hour. If the market price is $5.50 and the previous price was $2.50, it'll take three years before it settles.
They could've made it more reactive (changes once a month?) but chose stability instead. It's not unreasonable, but it might not be optimal.
Also, to respond to some criticisms here, I don't think success requires everybody to know about the system, or even most people. It's enough that a fraction know. Suppose a quarter know about the website and act on it. A quarter of the cars will shift to the low-demand area-- that's probably more than enough to even out the usage. And if the difference is large they'll tell their friends. So it doesn't matter that the tourists or out-of-town businessmen don't know about it.
Wouldn't hurt to have an ad campaign, though. For example, they could send a bulletin to local businesses after every adjustment, with a map of where the cheap parking is, which can be posted in the window. And simply getting the word out to employees would go a long way, I expect.
Arl Fan: they can apparently ticket you unless you turn the car off
Do you mean "unless you leave the car on"?
by Alai on Dec 14, 2011 11:27 pm • link • report
by MRB on Dec 15, 2011 10:22 am • link • report
On-street is short-term temp spots to maintain turnover; off-street is unlimited time. The cost of on-street should be relative to off-street daily rates(the operators have already done the long-term research on this). If you don't want to be hassled,go off-street. If you're in a hurry, go on-street.
Here in NYC the fines are more costly in Manhattan CBD. Would SF consider keying fines to rates? Also remember municipalities must cover their costs so they must maintain cash flow. There's the temptation--kill the golden goose by taking out excessive revenue! Remember OTB in NYC. I'm sure you can think of other mistakes.
Good luck.
by tom murphy on Dec 15, 2011 1:11 pm • link • report
Several people have commented that, essentially, demand-responsive pricing at meters wont work because drivers will not know prices at different meters or garages. We disagree. Not everyone needs to know about the differences in parking rates. To create more parking availability, we only need a few people to know about rate changes and choose to park somewhere else.
Who knows about the differences in parking rates? At least some people, whether because they use an app to see rates (as well as availability), park so frequently in the same area that they are "experts" that end up noticing rate differences, or because people will generally start to realize that it now costs less to park in garages than on-street. It is still very early days and it takes time to learn and adjust.
When evaluating the effects of parking pricing on parking demand, it is also important to recognize that parking demand is not constant. Many factors besides price influence parking demand, including seasonal variations (e.g., summer vs. fall), employment levels, and fuel prices. SFpark is a demonstration project, and we are gathering data that will enable a rigorous evaluation to better understand how price, as well as other factors, influence demand for parking. After a longer period (say, 18-24 months) of demand-responsive rate changes, we will all be in a better position to rigorously evaluate how demand-responsive pricing delivers benefits and changes parking, or travel, behavior.
-- Jay Primus, SFMTA's SFpark Manager
by Jay Primus on Dec 15, 2011 8:31 pm • link • report
by Jeff Jacobberger on Dec 30, 2011 1:42 pm • link • report
Jay Primus, who is the SFpark program manager has been putting out propaganda for the last two years to try and get buy in from the public. The program is used 20 million in Federal Funds to essentially install meters in mixed use/ residential neighborhoods. The residents says that that the meters are killing jobs and creating havoc with local neighborhoods.
by Robert Francis on Mar 15, 2012 2:29 pm • link • report
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