Bicycling
More great maps and graphs emerge from CaBi data
It's been just over a week since Capital Bikeshare posted data files anonymously listing trip times and locations, and numerous people from DC to the UK have tried their hand at creating visualizations, analyses and interactive tools.
Corey H posted a number of conclusions and then continued the discussion in the comments, giving readers lists of the most common trips (Eastern Market to Lincoln Park is tops), and much more.
Some commenters asked how many CaBi trips use bike lanes. There's no way to know precisely, but we can guess, and Ollie O'Brien did just that. He melded the data with a bicycle trip planning algorithm to guess what route people might have taken and plot a map:
O'Brien notes that this is just an estimate. For example, the model assumes that people are very likely to take a cycle track if there is one, which pushes a lot of bike traffic onto the 15th Street lane. He doesn't have data on how many of the rides actually do use 15th versus 14th or another road.
It also doesn't have the Memorial and 14th Street bridges, because the bike paths are discontinuous, so the algorithm assumes everyone going between DC and Crystal City takes the Mt. Vernon Trail and Key Bridge.
Nevertheless, this is an amazing and potentially very useful tool. For example, there are a lot of trips east-west, which the algorithm mainly guesses to take N Street since M Street is such an unfriendly road for cyclists. When DDOT builds a cycle track there, we know there will be a lot of demand and likely very significant usage.
JDLand's Jacqueline Dupree mapped the data showing rides to and from the stations in Near Southeast.
I don't know how much manual work was required to prepare data for her system, but it would be great if the site could let a user view trips for any of the stations in the system in the future.
A different JD, Justin "JDAntos" Antos, dug into the data and devised some very informative graphs.
Lydia DePillis recently noticed that casual members are much more seasonal than longer-term members, leading to big spikes in ridership during the warmer and more tourist-heavy months.
Antos discovered that the percentage of trips by casual users are also far higher on weekends, but the difference is much more pronounced in spring, summer, and fall than in winter:

Percentage of Capital Bikeshare trips from casual users, by day of week and season.
Graph by JDAntos.
Confirming what Corey H found, longer-term members are much more likely to return bikes under the 30-minute no-charge threshold than casual members.


Top: Capital Bikeshare trips by duration for both user types. Bottom: casual users only.
Graphs by JDAntos.
Perhaps not surprisingly, Antos also found that trips on weekdays occur much more in rush hours while weekend trips are spread in a bell curve throughout the day.
Read his and the other posts for more great nuggets. What else would you like to know? Have you created any graphs or maps to share?
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by JD on Jan 19, 2012 3:22 pm • link • report
by oboe on Jan 19, 2012 4:19 pm • link • report
I don't think this data dump was needed to "discover" this. Common sense would have led one to deduce the same.
Nonetheless, this stuff is fun.
by Vicente Fox on Jan 19, 2012 4:31 pm • link • report
by Ward 1 Guy on Jan 19, 2012 4:39 pm • link • report
by Francis on Jan 19, 2012 4:43 pm • link • report
by Jacques on Jan 19, 2012 5:21 pm • link • report
I haven't had time to conflate or analyze this weather data. If anyone's interested (or would just like the data in tidy SQL), I've shared it here:
http://dl.dropbox.com/u/1643312/bikeshare.sql
Enjoy!
by jmc on Jan 19, 2012 6:14 pm • link • report
What I'm trying to get at is, how frequently do people "synthesize" longer trips by chaining together short trips, to avoid the overage fee. You may not be able to tell from the available data set if it's actually the same user immediately re-checking-out the same bike, but you could get some idea how common the behavior is.
If it's very common, the operators might want to modify their fee structure -- if there's a need for this, they might want to serve it by increasing the free interval.
I, um, know people who do that. Sometimes. I've heard.
by Urban Garlic on Jan 19, 2012 8:11 pm • link • report
by Froggie on Jan 19, 2012 10:27 pm • link • report
by jmc on Jan 19, 2012 10:48 pm • link • report
I imagine you could strap on a GPS unit to a subset of bikes and try to build a model of use. I don't know if the power law would work here --people do the darndest things with their bikes and their routes, so it would be hard to model.
by charlie on Jan 20, 2012 9:02 am • link • report
by TGEOA on Jan 20, 2012 9:03 am • link • report
The Roosevelt Bridge link kinda stinks. The sidewalk is incredibly narrow, the connections on both sides of the river aren't too good. If you're on the north side of the bridge, you get dumped into the Kennedy Center lot, and it's just about impossible to go south or due east from there.
The south side sidewalk is worse, since there essentially is no connection on the VA side.
The bike/ped connections in that area of DC and the Mall are horrific. It's a terribly disjointed area that could and should be a tremendous biking asset.
The map also leaves out the 14th Street bridge trail, which I think is a much more rational connection, but there's a large park on either side you have to bike through.
by Alex B. on Jan 20, 2012 9:12 am • link • report
I agree with your other points, and I stated, I usually am the only biker I see.
I more often see some tourist on CABI on the south side trail. I have no idea how they got there.
by charlie on Jan 20, 2012 9:16 am • link • report
If I have to stop when I encounter another person traveling in the opposite direction so that we don't collide with each other, then the path is too narrow.
Even if the bridge were better, the point that it works well for your purposes is kinda irrelevant, since your regular trip is the only trip pairing that really works. A major piece of infrastructure should be more versatile than that.
by Alex B. on Jan 20, 2012 9:33 am • link • report
I think the weather info could be fun to analyze: how temperature and weather conditions affect usage.
I've also included station GIS coordinates, so this DB can be used for map visualizations.
Finally, a dynamic tool could (fairly) easily be built on top of this DB to provide interactive historical stats.
I just don't have much time to do any of that at the moment, so thought I'd toss it out to the community.
by jmc on Jan 20, 2012 10:07 am • link • report
I can tell you that without any data: More people use CaBi when it's warm and sunny than use it when it's cold and rainy.
by Marian Berry on Jan 20, 2012 11:49 am • link • report
by jmc on Jan 20, 2012 11:54 am • link • report
I'm not discounting the data. I just can't see any uses and thought others might have some suggestions, other than something to put on the walls.
by TGEOA on Jan 20, 2012 1:17 pm • link • report
Fair enough, but I prefer hard data to back up my gut instinct. Proving or disproving a hypothesis is important, even if the finding isn't surprising or interesting. Anyway, I agree - it is fun stuff! :)
by JDAntos on Jan 25, 2012 8:24 pm • link • report
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