Greater Greater Washington. The Washington, DC area is great. But it could be greater.

Poverty


DC's employment stable yet unemployment rising

The latest unemployment data for DC tell two conflicting stories. Over the past year, DC has not lost jobs, while most states across the nation are losing thousands. But DC residents are falling into unemployment at a historically high rate. The skills of many DC residents may not be well-matched to the jobs created in the city, with stepped-up workforce training necessary to fix the problem.


FDR Memorial. Photo by le Haricot.

DC's unemployment rate has quickly climbed to 11.4 percent in September. Some 37,500 DC residents are out of work and actively looking for a job but cannot find one. In just one year, the unemployment rate has risen from 7.4 percent to 11.4 percent, a 50 percent increase.

When people say DC is weathering the economic recession better than most places, it is clearly not the case for everyone. What they may have in mind is the fact that DC as a city is not losing jobs the way other places are. Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show employment in DC has been flat over the past year. That's good news, actually. Nearly every other state has seen big drops.

But the flat employment doesn't mean some areas have not shed jobs over the year. In fact, DC's construction industry lost 7,000 jobs in the last year. Trade, transportation and utilities, manufacturing, and professional and business services also had large losses. Only two industries had net gains: education and health services (200), and the government, including federal and DC (5,400).

What do these numbers tell us? While the District appears to be holding on to its jobs, thousands of DC residents are losing theirs. And even though jobs are being added to the market, it does not seem that they are going to unemployed DC residents. This suggests that the skills of unemployed DC residents may not be matching the skills required by the industries that are adding jobs.

The District could help reverse the skyrocketing trend in unemployment by really focusing on improving its workforce development programs. This could help get DC residents into the jobs that are available now, and those that will become available as the economy recovers.

Jenny Reed is a Research Associate at the DC Fiscal Policy Institute. Before coming to DCFPI she worked for several years on children's issues, ranging from social work for children to grants administration. 

Comments

From DC's site: "The unemployment rate is based on a monthly sample of households, while the job estimates are derived from a monthly sample survey of employers. As a result, the two statistics may exhibit different trends."

Hypothesis: We're getting a bunch of new jobs which require highly specialized degrees and experience, beyond what one gets in a workforce development program. We're pulling in people from across the country who've lost their jobs, and the population growth hasn't shown up on surveys yet. Meanwhile, middle/working/lower class gets major unemployment.

Hypothesis: These numbers are influenced by the presence of jobs in DC occupied by MD/VA residents - most major construction-boom projects outside the district are new residence, and inside are new office.

Hypothesis: Nobody's retiring, and retirees are re-entering the workforce. Unemployment gets to rise while job numbers stay stable.

Hypothesis: Illegal immigrants who don't show up on household surveys crowded to the last place there was work. DEY TERK OUR DARBS!

Anyone?

by Squalish on Nov 2, 2009 3:22 pm  (link)

This really isn't overly complicated.

DC's work force is as varied as its quadrants. NW DC, filled with highly educated (multiple degree) professionals (doctors, lawyers, engineers, consultants) currently a low 4% unemployment rate, compared to SE and NE DC which has neighborhoods with a 10% high school graduation rate 20% unemployment.

These two demographics are after vastly different jobs. DC's large uneducated workforce relies heavily on labor, construction and unskilled positions. The kind that dry up quickly in a recession. It's well known that the vast majority of those DC residents compete with neighboring residents of MD and VA for these jobs tht are located more in VA or MD than DC. DC's jobs are primarily those "professional" jobs requiring an education and don't really have an over abundance of low wage labor jobs.

Hence the discrepancy.

by nookie on Nov 2, 2009 3:43 pm  (link)

Wow. Didn't know DC was at 11%. VA is at 6%. It would be nice to put these numbers in perspective by comparing to (NO)VA and MD. Or just by county.

Nookie's comment makes sense. Nationwide unemployment for folks with a bachelor's degree is barely higher than a year ago. Most of the economic crisis is carried by folks without a college degree. Sad but true.

Exception to that rule are places like MI where a whole bunch of engineers have been fired. However, it is worth to point out that Honda and Toyota are building new car factories. Not in MI, but in ON and KY (less unions), however, I do hope that all those MIers will follow those jobs.

by Jasper on Nov 2, 2009 4:32 pm  (link)

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