Roads
McDonnell transportation plan: Mortgage future, build roads
Governor McDonnell released a transportation plan for Virginia yesterday, which essentially boils down to: take away money from future generations, and use it to build only roads today.
Most of McDonnell's plan involves borrowing money. He wants to issue $1.8 billion in bonds backed by the state, and then another $1.1 billion in GARVEE bonds, which borrow against future federal transportation aid.
And what does he want to spend it on? The only thing he mentioned in his speech was: roads, roads and roads. "This is the best opportunity in modern Virginia history to build roads," he said.
What about transit, pedestrian and bike facilities, and more? Transportation Secretary Sean Connaughton promised to devise a list of specific projects, and perhaps McDonnell was oversimplifying in his speech, but it'd be a big surprise if his final list includes more than token transit and bike-ped projects.
Virginia is not sure how to pay for the second phase of the Silver Line, but it's a good bet that widening freeways will come far before that or any other rail projects.
Borrowing in this way, of course, essentially means spending future decades' transportation money. From McDonnell's point of view, why not? He won't be governor. The easiest way to get credit for starting a lot of projects when he has no money is to spend future governors' money.
Maryland got itself into a real pickle with very aggressive use of GARVEE bonds for the Intercounty Connector. They dedicated federal money to that project, but then the economy tanked and local tax receipts dropped. Since they'd bonded for the ICC, they couldn't stop that project, and instead had to cut maintenance on most existing local roads.
And like the District, Virginia is getting into risky territory already with its level of debt. McDonnell argues that low interest rates and the cost of construction make now a particularly good time to borrow, but his priorities are remarkably narrow.
The McDonnell administration also released a ""Multimodal Strategic Plan" for transportation. The plan does lay out a vision including transit, biking, walking and more, but has no specifics on how to achieve that goal.
Meanwhile, McDonnell wants to take control of Metro to bring in "accountability." If he gets it, how soon will it be until he suddenly discovers some ways for Virginia to cut its contributions to Metro so it can build even more roads?
Added: Borrowing money per se is not necessarily bad. However, that borrowing needs to be tied to some economic development goal that will increase the tax base enough to pay for it, or other revenue increases need to be found to pay for it. McDonnell is simultaneously arguing that Virginia should borrow money, but opposing any means of raising revenue to pay for it. He's just kicking the problem down the road.
And while creating sprawl will generate some economic activity to grow the tax base, those roads will have to be maintained, forcing revenue increases later as well. And it's the wrong land use pattern for Virginia, which is the bigger issue.
Comments
- Metro policy for refunds after delays falls short, riders say
- Judge denies injunction against closing schools
- Long-term closures: A solution to single-tracking?
- M Street cycle track keeps improving, draws church anger
- Cyclists are special and do have their own rules
- O'Malley announces first projects using new gas tax money
- ICC losing bus service in classic bait and switch







by Eric Fidler on Dec 10, 2010 12:08 pm • link • report
by Thayer-D on Dec 10, 2010 12:16 pm • link • report
You love bonds. If they're from Arlington to pay for streetcars or upgrading Metro's infrastructure.
You hate roads. And Republicans. We get that.
But don't hate on bonds to reiterate your points.
by Lou on Dec 10, 2010 12:21 pm • link • report
If you want to be intellectually honest,you have to admit that not all Virginia can sustain mass transit. Sometimes building roads is just way more cost effective.
by Vincent Flament on Dec 10, 2010 12:28 pm • link • report
by Bryant Turnage on Dec 10, 2010 12:30 pm • link • report
by David Alpert on Dec 10, 2010 12:30 pm • link • report
The GARVEE bonds are just a terrible idea. Creative -- states issuing bonds based on federal money coming in -- but still bad. Issuing more debt to maintain roads is also not a good idea.
But the reality is VDOT has been bled dry. Despite "finding" a billion dollars in VDOT funds, there is a lot of deferred work on Virginia roads that needs to be done.
Last time I checked, Alpert was saying Virginia doesn't pay much to WMATA, so they couldn't' get a seat. If that is true, how much can the Governor cut?
Look, I can't stand McDonnell. HE is a typical yankee bred Northern virginia transplant. His creepy ads involving his family still scare me. But he's been pretty good on transit issues, and the reality is roads are far more important to the state than transit. In nova, I think he understands the mix.
by charlie on Dec 10, 2010 12:36 pm • link • report
Virginia's actually an interesting case for mass transportation. Although it's true that you'd never be able to cover most of the state's land mass, it would be actually quite easy to cover the people, given that the vast vast majority of the state's population live in 3-4 dense population centers. (DC, Richmond, and Norfolk/VA Beach)
by andrew on Dec 10, 2010 12:54 pm • link • report
As an aside, you may or may not realize that a portion of these bonds were authorized in the GA's transportation package in 2007 under Tim Kaine. A veto was pointless. So it's not entirely all the fault of the Governor of the moment, but more the actions of the GA, ie the will of their constituents.
by Lou on Dec 10, 2010 1:06 pm • link • report
And I say that as one of those "yankee bred Northern virginia transplants"...:o)
by Froggie on Dec 10, 2010 1:18 pm • link • report
He is asking for 600 million more a year. I think the gas tax in Virginia brings in about a billion a year.
get maybe 250 million more in gas tax, and bring back the car tax (yeah, right!) to bring in about 250 million more.
Or build out some bonds based on future gas tax revenue?
by charlie on Dec 10, 2010 1:27 pm • link • report
So if you wanted new revenue from the car tax, you'd have to take it from the county or city, or increase the rate and charge the owner.
Increasing the gas tax is not going to fly considering the number of members of the House GOP that have signed Mr. Norquist's pledge.
And the bonds based on future tax revenue is essentially what the proposal is.
by Michael Perkins on Dec 10, 2010 1:48 pm • link • report
And, yes, all future bonds are based on tax revenue. I'm suggesting, however, more of a specific asset class: gasoline tax bonds, issued for the purposes of road construction. Not sure if that instrument has any use in the worldwide financial markets.
by charlie on Dec 10, 2010 2:06 pm • link • report
by Jim on Dec 10, 2010 2:09 pm • link • report
by Interested on Dec 10, 2010 2:11 pm • link • report
by Lou on Dec 10, 2010 2:20 pm • link • report
by Jim Titus on Dec 10, 2010 2:26 pm • link • report
by Lou on Dec 10, 2010 2:46 pm • link • report
I wouldn't say that's a fair assessment. The maps made Virginia look like a huge sea of red in 2008, despite the fact that the state voted for Obama.
Virginians are a whole lot more liberal than they want to admit they are. They just don't like the label.
by andrew on Dec 10, 2010 2:59 pm • link • report
In PA - their Gov is proposing them as well. Erlich didn't win in MD, but if he had won, billions in contracts would have been written to HOT-up the MD beltway and I-270.
This corporate welfare funding mechanism known as HOT Lanes is spreading like a cancer around the country.
If the public were more willing to accept more traditional publicly-set up toll authorities, this would have nver started happening - the case of "no taxes!" taken way too far I am afraid.
by stevek_fairfax on Dec 10, 2010 3:27 pm • link • report
The second issue is that state-funded roads are what leads to the need for state-funded transit. We haven't founded a major city in the country in 50 years because the taxpayer subsidizes sprawl. Why the hell is Manassas (or Dumphries) part of the DC metro area? Because we build these big interstates out there, then they get overcrowded, then they need a train and a bigger road. It's an absurd cycle that we have to break. The solution isn't to build trains out there. The solution is to end sprawl by curtailing the government's ability to build roads. Before they had to compete with state-funded roads, private companies ably provided the best trains and transit service in the world in the U.S.
The third issue that we have allowed transit to become a left-right issue and this is a center-right country. It's the wrong way for the flag to be planted. We need to change the discussion to (1) How much transportation money do we have (2) what percentage do we want to spend on transit. As long as transit=tax increases, we're never going to get things straightened out.
Unfortunately, this article even emphasizes that dynamic. When can we stop linking transit with tax hikes in the voters' minds? Saying we need new taxes for transit means it's less important then everything the government is already funding, otherwise we'd be reallocating existing resources there.
by Gleb on Dec 10, 2010 5:04 pm • link • report
I find your comments pretty ignorant across the board.
We haven't founded a city because we have all of the cities we need. This is a global phenomenon, not an American one.
Nevertheless, people have to live somewhere. We are witnessing a gradual migration back to the cities (made possible largely because cities are safer now than they have been in decades) but it takes time. Now that the baby-boomers are approaching retirement, there is less demand for the suburban lifestyle. However, there needs to be much more migration before mass-transit becomes truly viable. If you need a car at your destination, mass-transit is not usually very helpful.
If you look at VA's six year plan (http://syip.virginiadot.org/Pages/allProjects.aspx) most of the individual projects do make a lot of sense. Most fall into two categories, 1) major improvements to completely inadequate highways like I95 between Fredericksburg and Occoquan and 2) incremental improvements to improve traffic flow in neighborhoods. These are the kinds of investments that will keep VA viable as a place to live and work in the future.
By the way, you can't just reallocate funds - those funds are allocated based on laws that have already been passed - things that constituents are depending on. It can be done, but not by snapping your fingers. That's what politics is all about.
I didn't vote for McDonnell, but I am pleased with the pragmatism he is showing.
by movement on Dec 10, 2010 11:46 pm • link • report
by Froggie on Dec 11, 2010 8:58 am • link • report
by Jasper on Dec 11, 2010 12:38 pm • link • report
by stevek_fairfax on Dec 11, 2010 1:27 pm • link • report
Not sure why you are so against the concept of HOT lanes. What makes them a poor design solution in your opinion? Have you described your POV outside of this thread?
by movement on Dec 11, 2010 4:43 pm • link • report
by Froggie on Dec 11, 2010 4:45 pm • link • report
by Fred on Dec 12, 2010 7:27 am • link • report
by Steve Yaffe on Dec 13, 2010 12:26 pm • link • report
#worserworservirginia
by oboe on Dec 13, 2010 12:56 pm • link • report
by Ocean Railroader on Feb 8, 2011 11:12 pm • link • report
Think of it this way: If you go to the airport only 3 hours before a flight leaves, do you expect to be able to purchase a ticket for the same price as someone who bought the ticket 3 months ago?
The more people who use HOT lanes (well, roads in general actually), the lower the level of service. So, in order to keep the HOT lanes moving, you raise the price of entry as more people do it.
I assume by your handle, that you've taken Amtrak. They use the same basic principle. Seats are allocated to 4 or 5 buckets. Once all the seats in the cheapest bucket are sold, the price increases.
It's simply supply and demand. The old model, where the price of the road (typically toll-free altogether) doesn't really work all that well, because there's no incentive (other than time lost) to shift your trip to a less busy time or less busy roadway.
Plane tickets and train tickets aren't "one price all the time;" neither should freeway driving be.
by Matt Johnson on Feb 9, 2011 9:43 am • link • report
Add a Comment